SBI Holdings Valuation

Is ZOF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZOF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZOF (€21.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€32.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZOF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZOF?

Key metric: As ZOF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ZOF. This is calculated by dividing ZOF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ZOF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.4x
EarningsJP¥94.88b
Market CapJP¥1.08t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ZOF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ZOF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.8x
FTK flatexDEGIRO
12.4x8.4%€1.5b
T2G Tradegate Wertpapierhandelsbank
86.6xn/a€2.2b
JDC JDC Group
56.9x24.8%€317.8m
BFV Berliner Effektengesellschaft
59.4xn/a€816.3m
ZOF SBI Holdings
11.4x11.5%€1.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ZOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (53.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ZOF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$404.56m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.8x-18.2%US$205.92m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.8xn/aUS$24.01m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.68m
No more companies available in this PE range
ZOF 11.4xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ZOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZOF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZOF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ZOF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZOF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€21.80
€24.86
+14.0%
8.4%€27.30€21.93n/a7
Nov ’25€20.20
€24.94
+23.5%
8.8%€27.58€21.54n/a7
Oct ’25€20.80
€26.07
+25.4%
7.2%€28.19€23.16n/a6
Sep ’25€22.00
€26.98
+22.6%
8.7%€30.77€23.39n/a6
Aug ’25€23.20
€26.59
+14.6%
9.2%€29.95€22.76n/a5
Jul ’25€23.40
€25.80
+10.2%
9.2%€29.05€22.08n/a5
Jun ’25€23.60
€25.36
+7.5%
11.4%€29.44€21.72n/a5
May ’25€22.80
€25.61
+12.3%
10.1%€29.21€22.45n/a5
Apr ’25€24.00
€24.37
+1.5%
18.7%€29.33€16.50n/a5
Mar ’25€24.20
€23.51
-2.9%
18.1%€29.50€16.59n/a6
Feb ’25€22.80
€22.04
-3.3%
12.6%€26.08€17.17n/a6
Jan ’25€20.00
€22.04
+10.2%
12.6%€26.08€17.17n/a6
Dec ’24€19.60
€20.75
+5.9%
12.7%€25.26€16.63n/a7
Nov ’24€20.20
€21.08
+4.4%
12.9%€26.18€17.24€20.207
Oct ’24€19.70
€20.71
+5.1%
13.2%€25.95€17.09€20.807
Sep ’24€18.80
€19.80
+5.3%
9.2%€22.75€17.06€22.006
Aug ’24€19.00
€19.70
+3.7%
9.7%€22.36€17.25€23.206
Jul ’24€17.40
€19.80
+13.8%
12.3%€23.47€17.13€23.405
Jun ’24€17.30
€21.53
+24.4%
11.1%€24.68€18.01€23.604
May ’24€17.60
€23.04
+30.9%
8.9%€25.78€20.21€22.807
Apr ’24€17.90
€23.04
+28.7%
8.9%€25.78€20.21€24.007
Mar ’24€20.00
€23.08
+15.4%
8.4%€25.75€20.88€24.207
Feb ’24€19.20
€23.28
+21.2%
8.5%€26.16€20.50€22.808
Jan ’24€17.60
€23.22
+31.9%
10.3%€26.99€20.07€20.008
Dec ’23€18.60
€23.14
+24.4%
9.9%€26.80€19.93€19.608
Nov ’23€18.00
€23.25
+29.2%
8.3%€26.43€21.01€20.208

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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