The Western Union Company

DB:W3U Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.5b

Western Union Valuation

Is W3U undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of W3U when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: W3U (€10.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€30.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: W3U is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for W3U?

Key metric: As W3U is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for W3U. This is calculated by dividing W3U's market cap by their current earnings.
What is W3U's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.4x
EarningsUS$675.50m
Market CapUS$3.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does W3U's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for W3U vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.8x
HYQ Hypoport
37.1x29.1%€1.1b
FTK flatexDEGIRO
14.3x8.1%€1.7b
GLJ Grenke
9.2x25.2%€684.8m
PBB Deutsche Pfandbriefbank
10.6x35.1%€657.9m
W3U Western Union
5.4x-4.8%€3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: W3U is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the peer average (17.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does W3U's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
W3U 5.4xIndustry Avg. 11.4xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: W3U is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is W3U's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

W3U PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.4x
Fair PE Ratio12.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: W3U is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst W3U forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.50
€12.13
+15.6%
17.1%€17.20€9.55n/a15
Dec ’25€10.54
€12.39
+17.6%
15.8%€17.29€9.60n/a15
Nov ’25€9.95
€12.01
+20.8%
15.6%€16.68€9.26n/a15
Oct ’25€10.79
€11.83
+9.7%
14.9%€16.18€8.99n/a15
Sep ’25€10.98
€11.83
+7.8%
14.9%€16.18€8.99n/a15
Aug ’25€10.83
€12.38
+14.3%
14.4%€16.62€9.24n/a16
Jul ’25€11.26
€12.80
+13.6%
14.6%€16.83€9.35n/a16
Jun ’25€11.80
€12.80
+8.5%
14.6%€16.83€9.35n/a16
May ’25€12.52
€12.80
+2.2%
14.6%€16.83€9.35n/a16
Apr ’25€12.62
€12.29
-2.6%
15.5%€16.62€9.23n/a16
Mar ’25€12.36
€12.27
-0.7%
15.1%€16.69€9.27n/a17
Feb ’25€11.66
€12.05
+3.4%
15.9%€16.54€9.19n/a17
Jan ’25€10.74
€12.32
+14.7%
16.0%€16.61€9.23n/a16
Dec ’24€10.72
€12.71
+18.6%
16.2%€17.04€9.46€10.5415
Nov ’24€10.66
€12.71
+19.3%
16.2%€17.04€9.46€9.9515
Oct ’24€12.66
€12.54
-0.9%
16.6%€16.86€9.36€10.7914
Sep ’24€11.34
€12.08
+6.5%
15.7%€16.33€9.07€10.9816
Aug ’24€11.04
€12.08
+9.4%
15.7%€16.33€9.07€10.8316
Jul ’24€10.64
€11.50
+8.1%
18.8%€16.53€9.18€11.2616
Jun ’24€10.58
€11.40
+7.7%
19.8%€16.33€9.07€11.8016
May ’24€9.72
€12.26
+26.1%
19.3%€16.42€9.12€12.5216
Apr ’24€10.27
€12.72
+23.9%
17.4%€16.59€9.22€12.6217
Mar ’24€12.16
€13.77
+13.2%
20.3%€22.49€9.37€12.3618
Feb ’24€12.92
€13.02
+0.7%
15.4%€16.77€9.32€11.6617
Jan ’24€12.92
€13.16
+1.9%
14.9%€16.85€9.36€10.7417
Dec ’23€13.93
€14.14
+1.5%
20.9%€23.22€9.68€10.7218

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 09:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Western Union Company is covered by 46 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Darrin PellerBarclays
Ramsey El-AssalBarclays
Rufus HoneBMO Capital Markets Equity Research