Guardian Capital Group Limited

DB:J68 Stock Report

Market Cap: €640.5m

Guardian Capital Group Valuation

Is J68 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of J68 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: J68 (€27.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€34.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: J68 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for J68?

Key metric: As J68 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for J68. This is calculated by dividing J68's market cap by their current earnings.
What is J68's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
EarningsCA$103.35m
Market CapCA$939.80m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does J68's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for J68 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
MLP MLP
9.9x8.3%€640.5m
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/a€392.2m
O4B OVB Holding
15.3x3.5%€282.2m
DBAN Deutsche Beteiligungs
24.7x54.1%€426.4m
J68 Guardian Capital Group
9.1xn/a€939.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: J68 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does J68's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$410.89m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%US$202.59m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.8xn/aUS$24.24m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.74m
No more companies available in this PE range
J68 9.1xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: J68 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is J68's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

J68 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate J68's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst J68 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€27.50
€34.12
+24.1%
9.1%€37.79€30.23n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
€33.06
0%
9.1%€36.61€29.29n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
€33.61
0%
6.5%€36.49€31.18n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
€33.61
0%
6.5%€36.49€31.18n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
€35.41
0%
8.0%€37.41€31.40n/a3
Jul ’25n/a
€37.24
0%
1.5%€37.91€36.56n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
€37.24
0%
1.5%€37.91€36.56n/a3
May ’25n/a
€38.21
0%
2.9%€39.57€36.84n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
€38.21
0%
2.9%€39.58€36.85n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
€38.21
0%
2.9%€39.58€36.85n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
€39.01
0%
4.4%€41.31€37.18n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
€38.40
0%
2.9%€39.77€37.03n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
€36.78
0%
5.3%€39.27€34.53n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
€35.89
0%
3.2%€37.48€34.75n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
€36.76
0%
4.0%€38.12€34.72n/a3
Sep ’24n/a
€36.76
0%
4.0%€38.12€34.72n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
€37.01
0%
6.9%€40.00€33.79n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
€36.44
0%
6.2%€38.94€33.48n/a3
Jun ’24n/a
€36.44
0%
6.2%€38.94€33.48n/a3
May ’24n/a
€35.95
0%
5.6%€37.99€33.24n/a3
Apr ’24n/a
€35.95
0%
5.6%€37.99€33.24n/a3
Mar ’24n/a
€36.78
0%
5.8%€38.90€34.66n/a2
Feb ’24n/a
€36.78
0%
5.8%€38.90€34.66n/a2
Jan ’24n/a
€36.78
0%
5.8%€38.90€34.66n/a2
Dec ’23n/a
€36.78
0%
5.8%€38.90€34.66n/a2
Nov ’23n/a
€29.23
0%
2.4%€29.72€28.23n/a3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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