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Home Point Capital Valuation

Is 786 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 786 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 786's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 786's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 786?

Key metric: As 786 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 786. This is calculated by dividing 786's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 786's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.7x
SalesUS$86.78m
Market CapUS$321.44m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 786's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 786 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
PBB Deutsche Pfandbriefbank
1.9x12.0%€691.9m
ARLN Aareal Bank
2.3x10.5%€2.0b
ENGL EV Digital Invest
0.7x9.8%€3.0m
VVV3 Ökoworld
3.2x4.6%€198.6m
786 Home Point Capital
3.7x39.9%€321.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 786 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 786's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Diversified Financial Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EBEN aifinyo
0.3xn/aUS$15.51m
EBEN aifinyo
0.2xn/aUS$13.94m
CSQ creditshelf
0.005xn/aUS$29.30k
No more companies available in this PS range
786 3.7xIndustry Avg. 2.0xNo. of Companies3PS01.22.43.64.86+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 786 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (2.4x)


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 786's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

786 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.7x
Fair PS Ratio1.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 786 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 786 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Jul ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Jun ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
May ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Apr ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Mar ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Feb ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Jan ’25n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Oct ’24n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Sep ’24n/a
€1.93
0%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Aug ’24€2.08
€1.93
-7.4%
7.6%€2.09€1.78n/a6
Jul ’24€2.10
€1.98
-5.6%
7.6%€2.15€1.83n/a6
Jun ’24€2.14
€1.98
-7.4%
7.6%€2.15€1.83n/a6
May ’24€1.78
€1.81
+1.6%
22.0%€2.30€1.15n/a7
Apr ’24€1.94
€1.80
-7.1%
22.7%€2.36€1.18n/a8
Mar ’24€1.46
€1.67
+14.5%
25.8%€2.33€1.16n/a8
Feb ’24€1.65
€1.67
+1.3%
25.8%€2.33€1.16n/a8
Jan ’24€1.30
€1.83
+40.6%
35.8%€3.30€1.18n/a8
Dec ’23€1.49
€2.15
+44.5%
36.3%€3.40€1.46n/a8
Nov ’23€1.75
€3.37
+92.7%
23.8%€4.07€1.53n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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