Tradeweb Markets Valuation

Is 4T0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4T0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€76.98
Fair Value
67.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4T0 (€129) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€76.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4T0 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4T0?

Key metric: As 4T0 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4T0. This is calculated by dividing 4T0's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4T0's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio59.3x
EarningsUS$523.32m
Market CapUS$34.32b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4T0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4T0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.9x
DB1 Deutsche Börse
26.5x6.01%€52.4b
DBK Deutsche Bank
14.7x19.27%€49.1b
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
14.5x8.55%€10.2b
FTK flatexDEGIRO
23.8x16.98%€2.7b
4T0 Tradeweb Markets
59.3x16.31%€34.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4T0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.3x) compared to the peer average (19.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4T0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HXCK Ernst Russ
4.6x-21.37%US$218.11m
SPT6 Sparta
1.3xn/aUS$95.41m
EFS3 Effecten-Spiegel
4.2xn/aUS$54.70m
VG8 Varengold Bank
5xn/aUS$31.83m
4T0 59.3xIndustry Avg. 23.3xNo. of Companies6PE020406080100+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4T0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.3x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4T0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4T0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio59.3x
Fair PE Ratio22x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4T0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4T0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€129.00
€134.77
+4.48%
13.84%€186.56€95.97n/a15
May ’26€120.00
€132.62
+10.52%
14.07%€184.23€94.77n/a15
Apr ’26€136.00
€135.39
-0.45%
13.02%€182.60€99.18n/a15
Mar ’26€125.00
€138.64
+10.91%
13.02%€187.58€101.89n/a15
Feb ’26€124.00
€142.12
+14.62%
14.12%€193.02€96.03n/a15
Jan ’26€129.00
€140.50
+8.92%
14.68%€196.47€95.84n/a15
Dec ’25€130.00
€134.47
+3.44%
10.24%€149.55€94.65n/a15
Nov ’25€117.00
€130.19
+11.27%
10.29%€145.27€91.94n/a15
Oct ’25€111.00
€110.59
-0.37%
8.21%€124.84€89.81n/a15
Sep ’25€105.00
€109.28
+4.08%
8.86%€122.10€83.83n/a14
Aug ’25€103.00
€109.86
+6.66%
8.85%€123.41€84.73n/a14
Jul ’25€98.50
€107.41
+9.05%
7.98%€121.07€85.68n/a15
Jun ’25€99.50
€105.62
+6.15%
7.94%€119.47€84.55n/a15
May ’25€94.50
€106.50
+12.70%
7.57%€116.85€86.00€120.0015
Apr ’25€96.00
€101.91
+6.16%
8.82%€113.58€84.72€136.0015
Mar ’25€98.00
€100.62
+2.68%
8.99%€113.18€81.64€125.0015
Feb ’25€88.00
€93.86
+6.65%
9.41%€109.56€80.34€124.0015
Jan ’25€81.50
€89.89
+10.29%
8.16%€99.84€73.28€129.0015
Dec ’24€88.50
€89.46
+1.09%
8.81%€100.12€73.48€130.0015
Nov ’24€85.00
€89.98
+5.86%
8.62%€102.67€75.35€117.0015
Oct ’24€76.00
€84.05
+10.59%
9.53%€94.68€69.12€111.0015
Sep ’24€79.50
€80.79
+1.62%
9.38%€91.97€67.14€105.0015
Aug ’24€74.00
€79.01
+6.77%
8.84%€89.23€66.47€103.0015
Jul ’24€62.50
€76.83
+22.93%
8.26%€87.04€65.97€98.5014
Jun ’24€62.50
€77.70
+24.32%
8.75%€88.20€66.84€99.5013
May ’24€62.50
€75.88
+21.41%
9.20%€86.21€63.53€94.5013
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
€133.27
Fair Value
3.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/19 10:57
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/19 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tradeweb Markets Inc. is covered by 21 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jeremy CampbellBarclays
Benjamin BudishBarclays
Craig SiegenthalerBofA Global Research