Stifel Financial Valuation

Is 2SI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2SI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 2SI (€110) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€154.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 2SI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2SI?

Key metric: As 2SI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 2SI. This is calculated by dividing 2SI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 2SI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.4x
EarningsUS$612.58m
Market CapUS$11.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2SI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2SI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.5x
FTK flatexDEGIRO
12.5x8.5%€1.5b
T2G Tradegate Wertpapierhandelsbank
86.6xn/a€2.2b
BFV Berliner Effektengesellschaft
59xn/a€816.3m
JDC JDC Group
56.1x24.8%€313.7m
2SI Stifel Financial
19.4x11.3%€11.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 2SI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the peer average (53.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2SI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AR4 AURELIUS Equity Opportunities SE KGaA
3.9xn/aUS$411.59m
HXCK Ernst Russ
3.7x-18.2%US$208.06m
VG8 Varengold Bank
1.9xn/aUS$25.70m
XE8 Black Sea Property
0.7xn/aUS$7.79m
No more companies available in this PE range
2SI 19.4xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 2SI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the German Capital Markets industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2SI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2SI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 2SI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2SI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€110.00
€104.52
-5.0%
8.3%€123.05€91.81n/a7
Nov ’25€95.50
€96.68
+1.2%
8.5%€104.47€79.51n/a7
Oct ’25€84.00
€83.54
-0.5%
8.4%€93.94€74.26n/a8
Sep ’25€78.00
€80.03
+2.6%
7.5%€93.82€74.16n/a7
Aug ’25€81.50
€83.87
+2.9%
7.4%€97.13€78.63n/a6
Jul ’25€78.00
€80.76
+3.5%
4.8%€87.54€75.44n/a7
Jun ’25€72.50
€80.88
+11.6%
4.8%€87.67€75.55n/a7
May ’25€75.00
€80.88
+7.8%
4.8%€87.67€75.55n/a7
Apr ’25€70.50
€77.54
+10.0%
7.5%€85.65€68.89n/a7
Mar ’25€70.00
€73.53
+5.0%
7.1%€81.25€66.48n/a7
Feb ’25€67.50
€73.53
+8.9%
7.1%€81.25€66.48n/a7
Jan ’25€63.00
€64.51
+2.4%
11.3%€77.60€56.78n/a6
Dec ’24€55.50
€64.51
+16.2%
11.3%€77.60€56.78n/a6
Nov ’24€53.50
€64.51
+20.6%
11.3%€77.60€56.78€95.506
Oct ’24€57.00
€67.07
+17.7%
10.0%€80.67€60.97€84.006
Sep ’24€60.00
€66.39
+10.6%
10.9%€78.21€59.11€78.006
Aug ’24€57.50
€66.39
+15.5%
10.9%€78.21€59.11€81.506
Jul ’24€54.50
€66.29
+21.6%
14.8%€83.01€56.56€78.006
Jun ’24€52.00
€66.07
+27.1%
14.6%€82.56€56.25€72.506
May ’24€54.00
€66.07
+22.4%
14.6%€82.56€56.25€75.006
Apr ’24€53.50
€70.37
+31.5%
13.6%€87.58€58.08€70.506
Mar ’24€63.00
€72.06
+14.4%
11.5%€87.58€62.69€70.006
Feb ’24€61.50
€72.06
+17.2%
11.5%€87.58€62.69€67.506
Jan ’24€55.00
€73.92
+34.4%
16.1%€95.11€58.23€63.006
Dec ’23€61.00
€73.92
+21.2%
16.1%€95.11€58.23€55.506
Nov ’23€62.50
€77.68
+24.3%
16.6%€98.35€60.22€53.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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