Capital One Financial Corporation

XTRA:CFX Stock Report

Market Cap: €52.1b

Capital One Financial Valuation

Is CFX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CFX (€136) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€221.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CFX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CFX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CFX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CFX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.9x
DBK Deutsche Bank
7.4x8.8%€32.6b
DB1 Deutsche Börse
19.3x5.6%€33.8b
FRU Multitude
10.6x25.5%€117.2m
DWS DWS Group GmbH KGaA
14.4x13.1%€8.1b
CFX Capital One Financial
11.4x7.3%€55.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CFX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the peer average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CFX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a20.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CFX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CFX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€136.00
€145.78
+7.2%
10.3%€176.68€103.76n/a17
Apr ’25€132.00
€137.19
+3.9%
10.2%€167.58€103.34n/a17
Mar ’25€126.00
€133.96
+6.3%
9.7%€156.88€102.43n/a18
Feb ’25€127.00
€128.71
+1.3%
10.1%€147.20€101.20n/a20
Jan ’25€120.00
€109.26
-8.9%
15.6%€143.18€78.34n/a21
Dec ’24€105.00
€104.29
-0.7%
15.3%€134.14€79.94n/a21
Nov ’24€94.50
€105.50
+11.6%
16.1%€137.96€82.21n/a21
Oct ’24€93.00
€111.12
+19.5%
14.8%€137.85€82.15n/a19
Sep ’24€96.00
€109.59
+14.2%
14.7%€135.15€80.54n/a19
Aug ’24€106.00
€106.68
+0.6%
14.2%€131.20€78.72n/a19
Jul ’24€101.00
€101.46
+0.5%
19.6%€148.42€65.97n/a19
Jun ’24€99.50
€100.72
+1.2%
19.3%€148.94€66.20n/a20
May ’24€88.00
€102.39
+16.3%
19.0%€147.66€72.01n/a21
Apr ’24€87.68
€109.36
+24.7%
17.7%€149.35€72.83€132.0021
Mar ’24€102.28
€111.98
+9.5%
17.0%€151.10€73.68€126.0021
Feb ’24€106.42
€107.50
+1.0%
17.2%€148.76€72.55€127.0021
Jan ’24€86.21
€118.27
+37.2%
18.2%€161.32€76.42€120.0021
Dec ’23€95.15
€119.50
+25.6%
17.8%€162.45€76.95€105.0021
Nov ’23€108.62
€131.49
+21.1%
16.2%€173.12€77.95€94.5020
Oct ’23€96.15
€142.87
+48.6%
16.7%€179.75€89.35€93.0019
Sep ’23€104.14
€140.20
+34.6%
15.7%€172.24€85.62€96.0019
Aug ’23€105.94
€139.16
+31.4%
15.8%€169.21€84.12€106.0020
Jul ’23€100.92
€156.08
+54.7%
17.4%€197.58€82.09€101.0021
Jun ’23€116.20
€155.09
+33.5%
17.1%€193.83€80.53€99.5021
May ’23€122.62
€160.26
+30.7%
13.5%€197.02€124.69€88.0021
Apr ’23€118.88
€160.92
+35.4%
10.8%€188.43€127.44€87.6821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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