Vacasa, Inc.

DB:W5Q0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €108.1m

Vacasa Valuation

Is W5Q0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of W5Q0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate W5Q0's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate W5Q0's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for W5Q0?

Key metric: As W5Q0 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for W5Q0. This is calculated by dividing W5Q0's market cap by their current revenue.
What is W5Q0's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.08x
SalesUS$949.94m
Market CapUS$112.65m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does W5Q0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for W5Q0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
CDZ0 MHP Hotel
0.4x12.0%€54.8m
IFA LS Invest
2.2xn/a€283.7m
HTG HomeToGo
1.2x16.1%€246.9m
MTP Münchener Tierpark Hellabrunn
4.2xn/a€75.0m
W5Q0 Vacasa
0.08x-5.2%€112.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: W5Q0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does W5Q0's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.1x9.7%
W5Q0 Vacasa
 0.08x-5.2%US$112.65m
9UX Hostmore
0.0006xn/aUS$138.43k
No more companies available in this PS range
W5Q0 0.1xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies3PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.1x71.8%
W5Q0 Vacasa
 0.08x65.0%US$112.65m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: W5Q0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is W5Q0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

W5Q0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.08x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: W5Q0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst W5Q0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.76
€2.76
-41.9%
13.0%€3.12€2.40n/a2
Jan ’26€3.58
€2.76
-22.8%
13.0%€3.12€2.40n/a2
Dec ’25€3.46
€3.40
-1.6%
29.2%€4.75€2.37n/a3
Nov ’25€2.30
€4.62
+100.8%
30.8%€6.00€2.31n/a4
Oct ’25€2.48
€4.80
+93.7%
34.7%€6.86€2.29n/a4
Sep ’25€3.08
€4.80
+55.9%
34.7%€6.86€2.29n/a4
Aug ’25€3.76
€6.65
+76.9%
14.2%€7.80€5.50n/a4
Jul ’25€4.10
€6.73
+64.1%
14.2%€7.89€5.57n/a4
Jun ’25€4.46
€6.73
+50.9%
14.2%€7.89€5.57n/a4
May ’25€7.30
€8.92
+22.2%
6.4%€9.39€7.98n/a4
Apr ’25€6.45
€9.14
+41.6%
9.0%€10.18€7.86n/a4
Mar ’25€8.60
€9.14
+6.2%
9.0%€10.18€7.86n/a4
Feb ’25€8.25
€10.03
+21.6%
23.3%€13.80€7.36n/a5
Jan ’25n/a
€10.73
0%
20.0%€13.85€7.85€3.584
Dec ’24n/a
€10.20
0%
23.3%€14.04€7.49€3.465
Nov ’24n/a
€18.91
0%
38.9%€28.37€10.40€2.304
Oct ’24€8.29
€23.23
+180.2%
28.3%€30.06€12.75€2.484
Sep ’24€10.69
€23.23
+117.2%
28.3%€30.06€12.75€3.084
Aug ’24n/a
€25.16
0%
22.2%€31.17€16.03€3.764
Jul ’24n/a
€27.87
0%
23.9%€36.43€16.39€4.105
Jun ’24n/a
€27.87
0%
23.9%€36.43€16.39€4.465
May ’24n/a
€34.98
0%
31.5%€47.28€18.91€7.305
Apr ’24n/a
€34.98
0%
31.5%€47.28€18.91€6.455
Mar ’24n/a
€78.21
0%
33.2%€111.92€29.85€8.607
Feb ’24n/a
€79.40
0%
27.7%€110.60€44.24€8.257
Jan ’24n/a
€81.80
0%
27.2%€113.02€45.21n/a7
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
€2.73
Fair Value
74.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/20 04:08
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vacasa, Inc. is covered by 10 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James FullerBTIG
Lee HorowitzDeutsche Bank
Ben MillerGoldman Sachs