Domino's Pizza Enterprises Limited

DB:HQX Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.2b

Domino's Pizza Enterprises Valuation

Is HQX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HQX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HQX (€22.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€27.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HQX is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HQX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HQX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA18.9x
PEG Ratio2.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HQX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HQX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
TIMA ZEAL Network
58.7x30.1%€753.7m
7.8x14.2%€3.4b
PZZA Papa John's International
25.3x14.1%US$2.1b
2555 Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial
13.6xn/aHK$16.7b
HQX Domino's Pizza Enterprises
64.6x28.4%€3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HQX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.6x) compared to the peer average (26.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HQX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a64.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a64.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HQX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.6x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HQX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HQX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio64.6x
Fair PE Ratio25.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HQX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (64.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HQX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€23.60
€26.97
+14.3%
18.1%€36.96€15.57n/a13
Apr ’25€25.80
€27.37
+6.1%
18.0%€36.95€15.57n/a13
Mar ’25€26.60
€27.37
+2.9%
18.0%€36.95€15.57n/a13
Feb ’25€24.60
€30.01
+22.0%
20.7%€41.51€15.69n/a14
Jan ’25€36.00
€33.92
-5.8%
15.0%€41.46€24.57n/a14
Dec ’24€31.60
€33.63
+6.4%
15.0%€40.61€24.07n/a15
Nov ’24€30.80
€33.80
+9.7%
15.0%€41.13€24.37n/a15
Oct ’24€32.20
€33.78
+4.9%
15.7%€40.96€24.28n/a15
Sep ’24€32.20
€33.49
+4.0%
15.3%€40.36€23.92n/a15
Aug ’24€29.20
€32.63
+11.7%
19.7%€41.77€24.57n/a15
Jul ’24€28.00
€33.36
+19.2%
19.7%€42.71€25.12n/a15
Jun ’24€29.40
€38.18
+29.9%
12.6%€46.09€30.73n/a15
May ’24€29.80
€37.37
+25.4%
13.1%€45.10€30.07n/a14
Apr ’24€30.60
€39.87
+30.3%
12.7%€47.83€31.89€25.8015
Mar ’24€30.60
€39.87
+30.3%
12.7%€47.83€31.89€26.6015
Feb ’24€47.60
€46.93
-1.4%
13.3%€58.44€38.96€24.6015
Jan ’24€41.40
€46.24
+11.7%
13.2%€58.00€38.67€36.0015
Dec ’23€42.40
€45.95
+8.4%
12.8%€56.96€38.83€31.6015
Nov ’23€40.60
€50.62
+24.7%
13.5%€61.59€40.78€30.8015
Oct ’23€33.60
€53.26
+58.5%
12.6%€64.05€42.41€32.2015
Sep ’23€41.40
€55.78
+34.7%
12.3%€65.70€42.12€32.2015
Aug ’23€48.60
€57.63
+18.6%
15.8%€73.97€40.54€29.2015
Jul ’23€44.00
€58.28
+32.5%
13.6%€71.42€42.99€28.0015
Jun ’23€46.20
€61.19
+32.5%
12.7%€72.77€46.97€29.4015
May ’23€50.50
€63.97
+26.7%
10.9%€73.69€47.56€29.8015
Apr ’23€56.50
€65.85
+16.5%
11.9%€78.75€48.62€30.6015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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