Expedia Group Valuation

Is E3X1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of E3X1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: E3X1 (€168.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€405.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: E3X1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for E3X1?

Key metric: As E3X1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for E3X1. This is calculated by dividing E3X1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is E3X1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.1x
EarningsUS$1.07b
Market CapUS$22.99b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does E3X1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for E3X1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.6x
7x17.3%€3.8b
IFA LS Invest
6.5xn/a€293.6m
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
30.1x10.7%UK£15.3b
AMS Amadeus IT Group
22.7x10.7%€28.7b
E3X1 Expedia Group
22.1x15.4%€23.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: E3X1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does E3X1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
E3X1 22.1xIndustry Avg. 17.1xNo. of Companies18PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: E3X1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is E3X1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

E3X1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.1x
Fair PE Ratio35.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: E3X1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst E3X1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€168.46
€175.02
+3.9%
11.0%€213.73€137.74n/a32
Nov ’25€142.82
€142.55
-0.2%
13.4%€185.28€109.32n/a32
Oct ’25€131.00
€134.13
+2.4%
14.0%€179.12€105.68n/a33
Sep ’25€126.42
€133.60
+5.7%
14.2%€179.32€105.80n/a31
Aug ’25€113.28
€136.33
+20.3%
14.3%€185.00€109.15n/a31
Jul ’25€116.50
€137.55
+18.1%
14.5%€186.70€110.15n/a31
Jun ’25€101.02
€134.99
+33.6%
15.1%€184.68€101.57n/a32
May ’25€126.20
€151.31
+19.9%
12.3%€186.54€121.25n/a33
Apr ’25€127.44
€149.40
+17.2%
12.2%€184.08€119.65n/a33
Mar ’25€126.60
€151.02
+19.3%
12.1%€185.62€120.65n/a33
Feb ’25€136.38
€145.51
+6.7%
15.7%€184.66€106.18n/a33
Jan ’25€138.42
€128.11
-7.5%
19.8%€181.16€81.52n/a32
Dec ’24€127.34
€122.92
-3.5%
19.6%€182.28€82.03n/a32
Nov ’24€87.72
€118.46
+35.0%
19.0%€188.38€84.77€142.8232
Oct ’24€97.77
€118.58
+21.3%
19.1%€187.18€84.23€131.0030
Sep ’24€101.04
€118.58
+17.4%
19.8%€183.32€82.49€126.4230
Aug ’24€109.90
€120.16
+9.3%
19.1%€181.88€81.85€113.2831
Jul ’24€100.60
€118.61
+17.9%
20.5%€183.28€82.48€116.5030
Jun ’24€91.53
€118.87
+29.9%
19.3%€162.47€83.56€101.0227
May ’24€85.13
€120.18
+41.2%
17.2%€159.51€82.04€126.2027
Apr ’24€89.50
€125.17
+39.9%
15.7%€162.65€83.65€127.4428
Mar ’24€99.47
€127.26
+27.9%
15.6%€164.97€94.27€126.6028
Feb ’24€104.60
€116.94
+11.8%
20.6%€161.29€77.89€136.3828
Jan ’24€81.86
€121.56
+48.5%
20.0%€166.04€80.19€138.4227
Dec ’23€102.02
€129.04
+26.5%
20.2%€184.40€97.05€127.3426
Nov ’23€97.27
€145.64
+49.7%
21.9%€218.64€101.22€87.7226

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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