Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

DB:6FE Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.9b

Six Flags Entertainment Valuation

Is 6FE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6FE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6FE (€22.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€46.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6FE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6FE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6FE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.8x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6FE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6FE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.6x
NHB0 Nebelhornbahn-Aktiengesellschaft
34.8xn/a€27.9m
TIMA ZEAL Network
58.7x30.1%€753.7m
7.7x14.2%€3.4b
RGB Regenbogen
9.2xn/a€13.0m
6FE Six Flags Entertainment
50.9x40.2%€2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6FE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.9x) compared to the peer average (27.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6FE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a62.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a62.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6FE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.9x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (18.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6FE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6FE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio50.9x
Fair PE Ratio29x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6FE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6FE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€22.20
€29.30
+32.0%
18.8%€43.22€20.67n/a11
Apr ’25€23.95
€28.82
+20.3%
18.9%€42.64€20.39n/a11
Mar ’25€23.25
€28.30
+21.7%
18.8%€42.45€20.30n/a12
Feb ’25€23.20
€27.84
+20.0%
19.3%€42.22€20.19n/a12
Jan ’25€22.40
€27.02
+20.6%
20.1%€41.86€20.02n/a13
Dec ’24€22.65
€27.06
+19.5%
20.1%€42.25€20.21n/a13
Nov ’24€18.68
€26.43
+41.5%
25.6%€43.53€15.14n/a14
Oct ’24€22.45
€26.88
+19.7%
21.4%€42.30€19.31n/a13
Sep ’24€21.05
€26.88
+27.7%
21.4%€42.30€19.31n/a13
Aug ’24€21.45
€28.65
+33.5%
20.4%€41.88€20.03n/a13
Jul ’24€24.15
€30.47
+26.2%
16.9%€42.02€22.84n/a14
Jun ’24€23.70
€31.00
+30.8%
16.6%€43.04€23.39n/a15
May ’24€21.85
€30.04
+37.5%
16.9%€41.97€21.90€22.2013
Apr ’24€23.12
€30.68
+32.7%
16.9%€42.34€22.09€23.9512
Mar ’24€24.68
€27.87
+12.9%
23.6%€42.85€18.63€23.2512
Feb ’24€24.41
€27.87
+14.2%
23.6%€42.85€18.63€23.2012
Jan ’24€21.40
€27.15
+26.9%
26.3%€43.70€17.10€22.4012
Dec ’23€22.82
€27.15
+19.0%
26.3%€43.70€17.10€22.6512
Nov ’23€22.32
€30.83
+38.1%
25.7%€46.57€18.22€18.6811
Oct ’23€18.24
€32.08
+75.9%
23.9%€47.47€20.64€22.4511
Sep ’23€21.83
€31.08
+42.4%
24.1%€46.25€20.11€21.0511
Aug ’23€21.89
€43.50
+98.7%
29.3%€59.66€23.86€21.4512
Jul ’23€20.33
€44.55
+119.1%
22.8%€56.87€22.75€24.1513
Jun ’23€27.27
€47.87
+75.6%
14.8%€56.66€30.22€23.7013
May ’23€37.15
€51.33
+38.2%
9.0%€59.73€42.93€21.8513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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