Delivery Hero Valuation

Is DHER undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DHER when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DHER (€36.21) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€21.08)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DHER is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DHER?

Key metric: As DHER is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DHER. This is calculated by dividing DHER's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DHER's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
Sales€10.88b
Market Cap€10.33b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DHER's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DHER vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.8x
0.2x3.8%€3.9b
WING Wingstop
16.1x16.6%US$9.3b
TIMA ZEAL Network
6.2x12.9%€935.6m
BROS Dutch Bros
4.6x17.1%US$8.3b
DHER Delivery Hero
1x10.9%€10.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DHER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (6.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DHER's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MS1 Marley Spoon Group
0.07x10.0%US$14.05m
9UX Hostmore
0.0006xn/aUS$138.43k
No more companies available in this PS range
DHER 1.0xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DHER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DHER's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DHER PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio2.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DHER is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DHER forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€36.21
€45.15
+24.7%
28.4%€75.00€24.00n/a18
Nov ’25€39.82
€45.16
+13.4%
28.2%€75.00€24.00n/a19
Oct ’25€37.29
€40.72
+9.2%
32.2%€75.00€24.00n/a19
Sep ’25€28.49
€40.51
+42.2%
32.9%€75.00€22.00n/a19
Aug ’25€20.94
€40.48
+93.3%
35.3%€75.00€22.00n/a20
Jul ’25€22.47
€45.51
+102.5%
31.6%€75.00€25.00n/a19
Jun ’25€27.91
€45.60
+63.4%
30.6%€75.00€25.00n/a20
May ’25€26.40
€45.80
+73.5%
31.5%€75.00€25.00n/a20
Apr ’25€26.52
€43.85
+65.4%
36.9%€75.00€20.00n/a20
Mar ’25€22.09
€44.59
+101.9%
36.3%€75.00€20.00n/a21
Feb ’25€21.50
€49.08
+128.3%
31.3%€85.00€26.00n/a21
Jan ’25€25.01
€53.86
+115.3%
30.0%€88.00€30.00n/a21
Dec ’24€29.47
€54.97
+86.5%
28.8%€88.00€30.00n/a20
Nov ’24€24.39
€57.10
+134.1%
29.7%€88.00€30.00€39.8220
Oct ’24€27.17
€57.78
+112.7%
28.4%€88.00€30.00€37.2920
Sep ’24€33.75
€59.34
+75.8%
28.2%€88.00€30.00€28.4921
Aug ’24€39.20
€59.46
+51.7%
29.6%€94.00€30.00€20.9421
Jul ’24€40.41
€61.92
+53.2%
28.4%€94.00€30.00€22.4721
Jun ’24€35.18
€62.55
+77.8%
28.9%€94.00€30.00€27.9120
May ’24€36.13
€62.35
+72.6%
29.3%€94.00€30.00€26.4020
Apr ’24€31.37
€64.74
+106.4%
28.1%€94.00€30.00€26.5218
Mar ’24€37.50
€65.41
+74.4%
26.7%€94.00€30.00€22.0918
Feb ’24€53.78
€65.91
+22.6%
26.9%€97.00€30.00€21.5018
Jan ’24€44.78
€66.08
+47.6%
27.0%€97.00€30.00€25.0120
Dec ’23€42.56
€66.10
+55.3%
27.3%€97.00€30.00€29.4720
Nov ’23€35.84
€64.78
+80.7%
28.2%€97.00€28.00€24.3920

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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