Collins Foods Valuation

Is 6CF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6CF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6CF (€5.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6CF is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6CF?

Key metric: As 6CF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 6CF. This is calculated by dividing 6CF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 6CF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.9x
EarningsAU$55.64m
Market CapAU$994.36m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 6CF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 6CF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.1x
TIMA ZEAL Network
20.1x-5.0%€935.6m
IFA LS Invest
6.6xn/a€296.1m
3087 DOUTOR NICHIRES Holdings
16.3x8.7%JP¥98.7b
AW A & W Food Services of Canada
25.6xn/aCA$883.4m
6CF Collins Foods
17.9x15.2%€994.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6CF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6CF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
6CF 17.9xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies20PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6CF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6CF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6CF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6CF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6CF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.10
€6.13
+20.1%
15.5%€8.29€4.73n/a13
Nov ’25€4.86
€6.04
+24.2%
16.0%€8.29€4.73n/a13
Oct ’25€5.30
€6.16
+16.1%
17.1%€8.40€4.79n/a11
Sep ’25€4.56
€6.01
+31.8%
17.1%€8.20€4.68n/a11
Aug ’25€4.96
€7.06
+42.4%
12.9%€8.97€5.73n/a11
Jul ’25€5.50
€7.06
+28.4%
12.9%€8.97€5.73n/a11
Jun ’25€5.50
€7.30
+32.7%
10.8%€8.80€6.26n/a12
May ’25€6.00
€7.31
+21.8%
11.3%€8.73€6.06n/a12
Apr ’25€6.00
€7.29
+21.5%
11.3%€8.70€6.04n/a12
Mar ’25€6.00
€7.25
+20.9%
11.3%€8.66€6.01n/a12
Feb ’25€7.05
€7.39
+4.8%
10.6%€8.75€6.07n/a12
Jan ’25€7.15
€7.15
-0.03%
10.2%€8.68€6.03n/a11
Dec ’24€6.70
€7.15
+6.7%
10.2%€8.68€6.03n/a11
Nov ’24€5.45
€6.29
+15.4%
12.8%€8.41€5.29€4.8611
Oct ’24€5.75
€6.30
+9.5%
12.6%€8.38€5.27€5.3011
Sep ’24€5.80
€6.25
+7.8%
12.7%€8.31€5.22€4.5611
Aug ’24€5.95
€6.09
+2.3%
7.5%€6.75€5.32€4.969
Jul ’24€5.85
€6.09
+4.1%
7.5%€6.75€5.32€5.509
Jun ’24€5.00
€5.80
+15.9%
13.2%€7.04€4.60€5.509
May ’24€5.10
€5.77
+13.1%
12.8%€7.08€4.62€6.009
Apr ’24€5.00
€5.77
+15.4%
12.8%€7.08€4.62€6.009
Mar ’24€5.15
€6.09
+18.3%
12.8%€7.48€4.88€6.009
Feb ’24€5.15
€6.08
+18.1%
13.0%€7.48€4.88€7.059
Jan ’24€4.50
€6.01
+33.6%
12.5%€7.44€4.85€7.1510
Dec ’23€4.96
€6.01
+21.2%
12.5%€7.44€4.85€6.7010
Nov ’23€6.15
€7.07
+15.0%
10.2%€7.92€5.68€5.4510

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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