Collins Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Collins Foods is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 14.5% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16% in 3 years.

Key information

14.5%

Earnings growth rate

14.0%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth	69.9%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	16.0%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

No updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

DB:6CF - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
4/30/2027	1,743	81	86	209	13
4/30/2026	1,631	64	70	186	13
4/30/2025	1,530	46	55	159	13
4/28/2024	1,489	56	94	176	N/A
1/28/2024	1,462	43	93	174	N/A
10/15/2023	1,434	30	92	171	N/A
7/15/2023	1,391	21	81	159	N/A
4/30/2023	1,349	11	71	146	N/A
10/16/2022	1,257	38	75	141	N/A
7/16/2022	1,219	46	79	149	N/A
5/1/2022	1,182	54	83	156	N/A
10/17/2021	1,108	43	51	122	N/A
7/17/2021	1,087	40	66	125	N/A
5/2/2021	1,066	37	81	128	N/A
10/18/2020	992	33	123	171	N/A
7/18/2020	970	32	107	160	N/A
5/3/2020	948	32	92	149	N/A
2/3/2020	960	35	73	134	N/A
10/13/2019	939	38	55	119	N/A
7/13/2019	920	39	49	108	N/A
4/28/2019	901	39	42	97	N/A
1/28/2019	881	40	38	90	N/A
10/14/2018	860	41	35	83	N/A
7/14/2018	815	37	30	79	N/A
4/29/2018	771	32	25	75	N/A
1/29/2018	722	29	N/A	68	N/A
10/15/2017	673	25	N/A	61	N/A
7/15/2017	653	27	N/A	61	N/A
4/30/2017	634	28	N/A	61	N/A
1/31/2017	610	29	N/A	56	N/A
10/16/2016	587	30	N/A	52	N/A
7/16/2016	581	30	N/A	51	N/A
5/1/2016	574	29	N/A	50	N/A
2/1/2016	579	28	N/A	53	N/A
10/18/2015	585	27	N/A	56	N/A
7/18/2015	578	8	N/A	53	N/A
5/3/2015	572	-10	N/A	49	N/A
2/3/2015	535	-13	N/A	46	N/A
10/12/2014	499	-15	N/A	42	N/A
7/12/2014	470	-1	N/A	44	N/A
4/27/2014	441	14	N/A	45	N/A
1/27/2014	432	15	N/A	43	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 6CF's forecast earnings growth (14.5% per year) is above the savings rate (1%).

Earnings vs Market: 6CF's earnings (14.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the German market (20.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 6CF's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 6CF's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the German market (5.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 6CF's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 6CF's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/26 23:09
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings	2024/04/28
Annual Earnings	2024/04/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Collins Foods Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Russell Wright	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Thomas Kierath	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Peter Marks	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

Collins Foods Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Collins Foods Limited Announces Executive Changes

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Final dividend of AU$0.15 announced

Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.47 (vs AU$0.096 in FY 2023)

Collins Foods Limited Announces Resignation of Drew O'Malley as CEO, Effective 1 July 2024

Collins Foods Limited Appoints Ms Priyamvada (Pia) Rasal as the Joint Company Secretary

Now 25% undervalued after recent price drop

Collins Foods Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Dec 03, 2024

Now 21% undervalued

Collins Foods Limited Announces Executive Changes

Collins Foods Limited Declares Fully Franked Interim Dividend, Payable on 28 December 2023

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.25 (vs AU$0.094 in 1H 2023)

Collins Foods Limited Declares Fully Franked Interim Dividend, Payable on 28 December 2023

Collins Foods Limited Announces Change of Company Secretary

Collins Foods Limited Announces Board and Committee Changes

Collins Foods Limited Appoints Michael Dernier as Acting Group Chief Financial Officer

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.15 per share at 2.7% yield

Collins Foods Limited Declares Fully Franked Final Dividend, Payable on 1 August 2023

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.096 (vs AU$0.46 in FY 2022)

Collins Foods Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Collins Foods Limited Announces Chief Financial Officer Changes

Collins Foods Limited Announces the Appointment of Nicki Anderson as New Independent, Non-Executive Director and as Member of the Audit and Risk Committee, and Remuneration and Nomination Committee

MD, CEO & Director recently bought €53k worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought €51k worth of stock

Collins Foods Limited to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Dec 05, 2023

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.094 (vs AU$0.23 in 1H 2022)

Collins Foods Announces Fully Franked Interim Dividend Payable on 29 December 2022

Collins Foods Limited Announces Change of Director and Committee

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.15 per share

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.47 (vs AU$0.32 in FY 2021)

Collins Foods Limited Announces Dividend for the Year Ended January 5, 2022, Payable on August 1, 2022

Quadrant Reportedly Hunts for Retail Zoo

Collins Foods Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Nov 29, 2022

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues and EPS in line with analyst expectations

Non-Independent Non-Executive Director Newman Manion has left the company

Collins Foods Limited (ASX:CKF) acquired Eight restaurants in Netherland for €10.8 million.

Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.32 (vs AU$0.27 in FY 2020)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

New 90-day high: €6.30

Collins Foods Limited, Annual General Meeting, Aug 27, 2021

Collins Foods Limited Appoints Helen Moore Chief Operating Officer - KFC Australia

First half 2021 earnings released: EPS AU$0.14

Revenue beats expectations

New 90-day high: €6.55

Collins Foods Limited Appoints Hans Miete as CEO, Europe, Effective 5 October 2020

New 90-day high - €6.20

New 90-day high - €6.00