Sportradar Group Valuation

Is 1M4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1M4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1M4 (€16.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€20.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1M4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1M4?

Key metric: As 1M4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1M4. This is calculated by dividing 1M4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1M4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio83.9x
Earnings€58.95m
Market Cap€4.90b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1M4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1M4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.4x
TIMA ZEAL Network
20.1x-4.5%€944.3m
7.4x17.3%€4.0b
OPAP Organization of Football Prognostics
12.1x4.3%€5.5b
RRR Red Rock Resorts
17.9x10.8%US$5.4b
1M4 Sportradar Group
83.9x34.3%€5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1M4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (83.9x) compared to the peer average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1M4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
1M4 83.9xIndustry Avg. 17.0xNo. of Companies19PE01632486480+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1M4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (83.9x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1M4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1M4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio83.9x
Fair PE Ratio38.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1M4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (83.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1M4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.30
€16.41
+0.7%
13.2%€19.07€11.19n/a12
Nov ’25€11.40
€13.91
+22.0%
14.9%€16.43€9.07n/a12
Oct ’25€10.80
€13.39
+24.0%
18.1%€16.43€9.07n/a12
Sep ’25€10.40
€13.17
+26.6%
18.0%€16.43€9.07n/a11
Aug ’25€9.95
€12.89
+29.6%
18.0%€16.56€9.20n/a11
Jul ’25€10.30
€13.20
+28.1%
21.5%€18.56€9.20n/a11
Jun ’25€9.20
€13.27
+44.3%
21.0%€18.56€9.20n/a11
May ’25€8.90
€13.09
+47.1%
22.7%€18.56€9.40n/a11
Apr ’25€10.54
€13.19
+25.1%
22.2%€18.56€9.23n/a11
Mar ’25€8.90
€12.56
+41.1%
24.5%€18.56€9.23n/a11
Feb ’25€9.45
€12.65
+34.0%
24.9%€19.12€9.23n/a11
Jan ’25€9.92
€12.65
+27.6%
25.1%€19.12€9.31n/a11
Dec ’24€9.12
€12.67
+39.0%
25.1%€19.12€9.31€16.3011
Nov ’24€8.28
€14.00
+69.0%
28.1%€22.87€9.49€11.4011
Oct ’24€9.32
€14.62
+56.9%
24.5%€22.87€10.89€10.8011
Sep ’24€10.51
€14.57
+38.6%
24.8%€22.87€10.89€10.4011
Aug ’24€13.23
€14.34
+8.4%
26.6%€22.90€10.58€9.9511
Jul ’24€11.58
€14.28
+23.3%
27.1%€22.90€10.48€10.3011
Jun ’24€11.16
€14.27
+27.8%
26.9%€22.78€10.48€9.2011
May ’24€10.28
€14.42
+40.3%
29.1%€23.73€9.42€8.9011
Apr ’24€10.40
€14.46
+39.0%
29.0%€23.73€9.42€10.5411
Mar ’24€11.40
€15.18
+33.2%
29.1%€24.03€9.27€8.9011
Feb ’24€11.70
€15.18
+29.8%
29.1%€24.03€9.27€9.4511
Jan ’24€8.80
€16.06
+82.5%
24.5%€24.03€9.27€9.9211
Dec ’23€10.90
€16.07
+47.4%
24.4%€24.03€9.27€9.1211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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