Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About bet-at-home.com AG (ETR:ACX)?

XTRA:ACX
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With its stock down 12% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard bet-at-home.com (ETR:ACX). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to bet-at-home.com's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for bet-at-home.com

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for bet-at-home.com is:

14% = €4.1m ÷ €29m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every €1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated €0.14 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

bet-at-home.com's Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

At first glance, bet-at-home.com seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 7.1%. As you might expect, the 41% net income decline reported by bet-at-home.com is a bit of a surprise. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

As a next step, we compared bet-at-home.com's performance with the industry and found thatbet-at-home.com's performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 20% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

past-earnings-growth
XTRA:ACX Past Earnings Growth August 2nd 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if bet-at-home.com is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is bet-at-home.com Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like bet-at-home.com has some positive aspects to its business. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. To gain further insights into bet-at-home.com's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether bet-at-home.com is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.