DoorDash Valuation

Is DD2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DD2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DD2 (€164.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€246.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DD2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DD2?

Key metric: As DD2 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for DD2. This is calculated by dividing DD2's market cap by their current revenue.
What is DD2's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.3x
SalesUS$10.15b
Market CapUS$73.62b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DD2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DD2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.3x
DHER Delivery Hero
1x11.1%€11.1b
CPG Compass Group
1.4x6.7%UK£44.9b
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill
7.7x11.9%US$84.6b
3690 Meituan
2.9x13.2%HK$990.9b
DD2 DoorDash
7.3x14.3%€73.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DD2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (3.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does DD2's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MS1 Marley Spoon Group
0.07x10.0%US$13.85m
9UX Hostmore
0.0006xn/aUS$138.43k
No more companies available in this PS range
DD2 7.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DD2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DD2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DD2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.3x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DD2's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DD2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€164.78
€162.77
-1.2%
9.6%€199.25€128.09n/a40
Nov ’25n/a
€156.32
0%
8.6%€184.56€124.58n/a40
Oct ’25€127.64
€130.89
+2.5%
9.9%€158.96€106.87n/a38
Sep ’25n/a
€130.82
0%
9.5%€155.58€108.91n/a33
Aug ’25€96.62
€124.23
+28.6%
12.8%€157.06€99.78n/a34
Jul ’25€100.36
€124.76
+24.3%
12.4%€158.70€101.75n/a32
Jun ’25€99.01
€123.17
+24.4%
12.2%€156.52€98.51n/a33
May ’25€120.70
€128.07
+6.1%
14.1%€163.94€97.43n/a34
Apr ’25n/a
€121.93
0%
13.7%€161.65€92.37n/a32
Mar ’25€113.00
€116.49
+3.1%
15.6%€143.24€48.98n/a31
Feb ’25€100.00
€101.09
+1.1%
17.8%€142.60€46.92n/a31
Jan ’25n/a
€93.56
0%
18.0%€141.73€46.63n/a32
Dec ’24n/a
€92.38
0%
17.8%€142.12€46.76n/a32
Nov ’24n/a
€91.56
0%
18.3%€146.69€44.48n/a31
Oct ’24n/a
€90.69
0%
18.5%€145.06€43.99€127.6431
Sep ’24n/a
€86.44
0%
21.8%€142.68€43.26n/a31
Aug ’24€83.50
€74.21
-11.1%
24.4%€144.77€36.42€96.6230
Jul ’24n/a
€72.23
0%
25.6%€145.12€36.51€100.3629
Jun ’24n/a
€72.95
0%
26.5%€146.44€36.84€99.0127
May ’24n/a
€71.55
0%
26.2%€144.10€36.25€120.7026
Apr ’24n/a
€75.15
0%
25.8%€148.06€37.25n/a25
Mar ’24€51.30
€76.54
+49.2%
25.5%€149.32€37.56€113.0025
Feb ’24n/a
€69.78
0%
31.4%€146.33€36.81€100.0026
Jan ’24n/a
€82.98
0%
41.9%€213.54€47.04n/a24
Dec ’23€56.06
€85.69
+52.9%
40.2%€217.87€47.99n/a25
Nov ’23n/a
€105.14
0%
36.0%€229.77€50.61n/a24

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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