Orsero Valuation

Is WRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WRG (€12.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€36.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WRG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WRG?

Key metric: As WRG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WRG. This is calculated by dividing WRG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WRG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
Earnings€25.72m
Market Cap€215.66m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
HAW Hawesko Holding
19.8x19.4%€205.7m
MSH WASGAU Produktions & Handels
14.3xn/a€59.4m
9305 Yamatane
17.9xn/aJP¥35.8b
8142 Toho
7.3xn/aJP¥30.1b
WRG Orsero
8.4x3.4%€215.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WRG 8.4xIndustry Avg. 14.9xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WRG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WRG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.56
€23.50
+87.1%
10.8%€26.00€20.00n/a3
Nov ’25€11.76
€23.33
+98.4%
10.7%€26.00€20.00n/a3
Oct ’25€12.62
€23.33
+84.9%
10.7%€26.00€20.00n/a3
Sep ’25€12.76
€24.67
+93.3%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Aug ’25€12.18
€24.67
+102.5%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Jul ’25€12.50
€24.67
+97.3%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Jun ’25€13.12
€24.67
+88.0%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
May ’25€14.50
€24.67
+70.1%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Apr ’25€14.18
€24.67
+74.0%
3.8%€26.00€24.00n/a3
Mar ’25€14.90
€24.67
+65.5%
1.9%€25.00€24.00n/a3
Feb ’25€17.32
€25.63
+48.0%
3.7%€27.00€24.50n/a4
Jan ’25€17.00
€25.63
+50.7%
3.7%€27.00€24.50n/a4
Dec ’24€16.68
€25.63
+53.6%
3.7%€27.00€24.50n/a4
Nov ’24€14.86
€22.25
+49.7%
8.8%€24.00€19.00€11.764
Oct ’24€14.18
€22.25
+56.9%
8.8%€24.00€19.00€12.624
Sep ’24€13.02
€21.03
+61.5%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€12.764
Aug ’24€12.56
€21.03
+67.4%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€12.184
Jul ’24€12.48
€21.03
+68.5%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€12.504
Jun ’24€12.68
€21.03
+65.8%
5.6%€22.00€19.00€13.124
May ’24€12.56
€20.65
+64.4%
5.9%€22.00€19.00€14.504
Apr ’24€13.28
€20.65
+55.5%
5.9%€22.00€19.00€14.184
Mar ’24€14.56
€21.28
+46.1%
2.0%€22.00€20.90€14.904
Feb ’24€15.16
€21.10
+39.2%
2.6%€22.00€20.50€17.324
Jan ’24€13.14
€20.60
+56.8%
1.9%€21.00€20.00€17.004
Dec ’23€14.02
€20.60
+46.9%
1.9%€21.00€20.00€16.684
Nov ’23€14.50
€20.60
+42.1%
1.9%€21.00€20.00€14.864

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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