Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V.

DB:4GNB Stock Report

Market Cap: €47.5b

Wal-Mart de México. de Valuation

Is 4GNB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4GNB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4GNB (€2.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4GNB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4GNB?

Key metric: As 4GNB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4GNB. This is calculated by dividing 4GNB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4GNB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.7x
EarningsMex$53.62b
Market CapMex$1.00t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4GNB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4GNB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average41.9x
TGT Target
13.7x4.5%US$60.3b
8267 Aeon
118.9x19.9%JP¥3.2t
DG Dollar General
12.5x6.8%US$16.7b
BJ BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings
22.3x7.1%US$12.9b
4GNB Wal-Mart de México. de
18.7x9.6%€1.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4GNB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (42.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4GNB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4GNB 18.7xIndustry Avg. 15.1xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4GNB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4GNB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4GNB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 4GNB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4GNB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.72
€3.47
+27.6%
7.2%€3.93€2.98n/a18
Dec ’25€2.46
€3.35
+36.1%
8.3%€3.81€2.66n/a18
Nov ’25€2.60
€3.42
+31.7%
8.1%€3.88€2.65n/a18
Oct ’25€2.92
€3.45
+18.0%
7.8%€3.83€2.62n/a18
Sep ’25€2.94
€3.71
+26.2%
7.7%€4.11€2.80n/a18
Aug ’25€3.04
€3.81
+25.4%
7.6%€4.22€2.88n/a18
Jul ’25€3.10
€4.05
+30.5%
7.6%€4.46€3.04n/a17
Jun ’25€3.46
€4.26
+23.0%
7.7%€4.68€3.19n/a17
May ’25€3.62
€4.18
+15.6%
7.9%€4.60€3.14n/a16
Apr ’25€3.68
€4.29
+16.6%
8.5%€4.79€3.19n/a17
Mar ’25€3.64
€4.29
+17.8%
8.7%€4.74€3.16n/a17
Feb ’25€3.80
€4.20
+10.4%
9.5%€4.61€3.07n/a16
Jan ’25€3.74
€4.20
+12.2%
9.5%€4.61€3.07n/a16
Dec ’24€3.56
€4.23
+18.8%
9.8%€4.65€3.10€2.4615
Nov ’24€3.32
€4.14
+24.8%
10.0%€4.70€3.03€2.6015
Oct ’24€3.52
€4.49
+27.5%
7.8%€5.07€3.88€2.9214
Sep ’24€3.64
€4.51
+23.8%
7.0%€5.07€3.89€2.9415
Aug ’24€3.74
€4.42
+18.3%
6.0%€4.81€3.85€3.0415
Jul ’24€3.64
€4.38
+20.3%
6.7%€4.88€3.86€3.1016
Jun ’24€3.52
€4.25
+20.6%
6.9%€4.75€3.76€3.4617
May ’24€3.64
€4.12
+13.1%
7.7%€4.68€3.62€3.6217
Apr ’24€3.76
€4.16
+10.7%
7.5%€4.72€3.66€3.6818
Mar ’24€3.68
€4.20
+14.0%
7.6%€4.78€3.65€3.6417
Feb ’24€3.56
€3.90
+9.7%
7.3%€4.38€3.37€3.8017
Jan ’24€3.34
€3.90
+16.9%
7.3%€4.38€3.37€3.7417
Dec ’23€3.72
€4.04
+8.7%
7.5%€4.53€3.48€3.5616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 04:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. is covered by 32 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Antonio Hernandez Velez LeijaActinver Case de Bolsa, S.A. de C.V.
Matthew McClintockBarclays
Benjamin TheurerBarclays