Stock Analysis

Will Redcare Pharmacy's (XTRA:RDC) Sustained Sales Momentum Justify Its 2025 Growth Ambitions?

  • Redcare Pharmacy NV, on October 28, 2025, reported sales of €2.15 billion and a net loss of €8.71 million for the first nine months of 2025, while also reaffirming unchanged earnings guidance for the full year with expected total sales growth exceeding 25%.
  • The sharp year-on-year growth in sales alongside a significant reduction in net loss points to continued operational progress and confidence in sustained business momentum.
  • We'll explore how the reaffirmation of strong sales growth guidance influences Redcare Pharmacy's broader investment narrative and outlook.

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Redcare Pharmacy Investment Narrative Recap

To invest in Redcare Pharmacy, you need to believe in the company’s ability to scale rapidly within the digitizing European pharmacy market and maintain top-line growth while edging closer to profitability. The company’s reaffirmed full-year sales growth guidance after reporting a year-on-year jump in sales and reduced net loss supports the key short-term catalyst: demonstrating continued operational progress, while the biggest risk – regulatory uncertainty around e-prescription adoption and pricing – remains unchanged and material for now.

Among recent announcements, the German Supreme Court’s July 2025 ruling that EU-based online pharmacies are not subject to fixed prescription pricing is highly relevant. This confirmation of competitive pricing freedoms could unlock further market share opportunities, enhancing Redcare’s growth potential amid evolving digital healthcare trends and investor focus on execution versus regulatory risk.

But against these signals of confidence, investors should also keep in mind the contrasting risk from possible regulatory delays or adverse changes in Germany’s e-prescription rollout...

Read the full narrative on Redcare Pharmacy (it's free!)

Redcare Pharmacy's narrative projects €4.5 billion revenue and €102.4 million earnings by 2028. This requires 19.1% yearly revenue growth and a €137.3 million earnings increase from the current €-34.9 million.

Uncover how Redcare Pharmacy's forecasts yield a €153.75 fair value, a 141% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

XTRA:RDC Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
XTRA:RDC Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Fair value estimates from seven Simply Wall St Community members range from €77.20 to €345.90 per share. While some foresee reduced regulatory barriers driving growth, others see material risks that could cap returns, so consider a variety of views.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Redcare Pharmacy - why the stock might be worth just €77.20!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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