Thule Group Valuation

Is TU0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TU0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TU0 (€26.42) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TU0 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TU0?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TU0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.8x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TU0's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TU0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average53.8x
ZPF Zapf Creation
169.6xn/a€191.7m
BOSS Hugo Boss
12.6x13.8%€3.2b
PUM PUMA
21x14.9%€6.4b
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12x10.0%€607.7m
TU0 Thule Group
28.2x14.8%€31.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TU0 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the peer average (53.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TU0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TU0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TU0's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TU0 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TU0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TU0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.42
€26.63
+0.8%
9.9%€29.87€23.04n/a5
Apr ’25€27.34
€26.94
-1.5%
8.3%€29.68€23.92n/a5
Mar ’25€25.30
€26.94
+6.5%
8.3%€29.68€23.92n/a5
Feb ’25€23.22
€25.88
+11.5%
8.0%€28.46€22.23n/a5
Jan ’25€24.15
€26.25
+8.7%
9.8%€29.75€21.87n/a5
Dec ’24€22.29
€26.25
+17.7%
9.8%€29.75€21.87n/a5
Nov ’24€21.23
€28.12
+32.4%
7.8%€31.29€25.37n/a4
Oct ’24€24.26
€29.38
+21.1%
5.6%€31.06€26.86n/a4
Sep ’24€26.64
€29.98
+12.5%
5.9%€31.13€26.93n/a4
Aug ’24€28.05
€29.83
+6.3%
12.4%€32.11€23.43n/a4
Jul ’24€26.40
€27.51
+4.2%
9.9%€29.75€22.95n/a4
Jun ’24€23.65
€26.90
+13.7%
10.0%€29.98€23.81n/a4
May ’24€24.85
€24.11
-3.0%
16.0%€30.08€19.91€26.024
Apr ’24€22.40
€21.93
-2.1%
5.2%€23.52€20.35€27.344
Mar ’24€20.49
€21.93
+7.1%
5.2%€23.52€20.35€25.304
Feb ’24€21.64
€21.94
+1.4%
5.6%€23.29€20.15€23.224
Jan ’24€19.68
€21.57
+9.6%
7.6%€23.72€19.69€24.155
Dec ’23€22.27
€22.27
-0.02%
8.5%€24.74€20.16€22.295
Nov ’23€19.79
€22.27
+12.5%
8.5%€24.74€20.16€21.235
Oct ’23€20.26
€25.21
+24.4%
17.6%€32.09€21.08€24.264
Sep ’23€23.29
€35.99
+54.5%
0.6%€36.15€35.68€26.643
Aug ’23€27.82
€36.90
+32.6%
2.8%€38.34€35.94€28.053
Jul ’23€22.94
€38.76
+68.9%
9.7%€43.89€35.02€26.403
Jun ’23€30.86
€45.70
+48.1%
6.5%€49.42€42.15€23.653
May ’23€32.16
€45.70
+42.1%
6.5%€49.42€42.15€24.853

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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