How Investors Are Reacting To tonies (DB:TNIE) Reconfirming Over 25% Revenue Growth Guidance for 2025

• On November 13, 2025, tonies SE confirmed its earnings guidance for the financial year, projecting group revenue growth of more than 25% in constant currency and aiming to surpass €600 million in revenue.
• This guidance highlights continued strong business momentum and suggests that demand for tonies' audio systems and related products remains robust across key markets.
• We will explore how tonies' reconfirmed double-digit revenue growth outlook may reshape the company's investment narrative and long-term growth expectations.

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tonies Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in tonies SE, you need to believe that robust demand for screen-free educational entertainment and the company’s strong international expansion will continue to fuel meaningful growth, offsetting long-term risks from digital streaming. The company’s reaffirmed guidance of over 25% revenue growth in 2025 may strengthen investor confidence in its top-line momentum, but it does not fundamentally change the primary catalysts or address the core structural risks around digitization.

Among recent announcements, the August launch of Toniebox 2 is especially relevant, aligning with management’s growth outlook and highlighting ongoing innovation as a critical short-term driver. As the Toniebox 2 rollout supports household engagement and average selling prices, it remains important to watch whether these gains will be sufficient to counteract the gradual industry shift toward digital consumption.

Yet, with all this momentum, investors should not overlook the pressure posed by the continued transition from physical to digital media for children’s content...

Read the full narrative on tonies (it's free!)

tonies' narrative projects €947.7 million revenue and €61.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 22.9% yearly revenue growth and a €34.0 million earnings increase from €27.6 million.

Uncover how tonies' forecasts yield a €11.37 fair value, a 32% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Three independent fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from €10.08 to €13.64 per share. As households weigh screen-free play against rising digital trends, you can explore these diverse perspectives to see how your outlook aligns.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on tonies - why the stock might be worth as much as 58% more than the current price!

Build Your Own tonies Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your tonies research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free tonies research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate tonies' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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