Open House Group Co., Ltd.

DB:O4H Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.8b

Open House Group Valuation

Is O4H undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of O4H when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: O4H (€32.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€14.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: O4H is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for O4H?

Key metric: As O4H is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for O4H. This is calculated by dividing O4H's market cap by their current earnings.
What is O4H's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.8x
EarningsJP¥92.92b
Market CapJP¥627.63b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does O4H's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for O4H vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
BOSS Hugo Boss
14x13.3%€3.0b
PUM PUMA
26.3x18.5%€6.8b
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.2x9.2%€712.2m
IBP Installed Building Products
19.6x7.7%US$5.0b
O4H Open House Group
6.8x3.2%€627.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: O4H is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the peer average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does O4H's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
O4H 6.8xIndustry Avg. 13.2xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: O4H is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is O4H's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

O4H PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: O4H is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst O4H forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€32.80
€36.15
+10.2%
6.6%€39.06€32.86n/a5
Dec ’25€34.80
€36.85
+5.9%
5.8%€39.41€33.16n/a5
Nov ’25€33.80
€35.46
+4.9%
4.0%€37.26€32.91n/a5
Oct ’25€34.40
€35.46
+3.1%
4.0%€37.26€32.91n/a5
Sep ’25€35.60
€35.46
-0.4%
4.0%€37.26€32.91n/a5
Aug ’25€31.20
€29.93
-4.1%
9.7%€34.36€26.20n/a5
Jul ’25€28.40
€29.93
+5.4%
9.7%€34.36€26.20n/a5
Jun ’25€27.00
€31.30
+15.9%
12.8%€36.93€26.38n/a5
May ’25€28.40
€32.94
+16.0%
12.1%€38.86€28.37n/a5
Apr ’25€29.60
€32.94
+11.3%
12.1%€38.86€28.37n/a5
Mar ’25€27.80
€32.94
+18.5%
12.1%€38.86€28.37n/a5
Feb ’25€28.60
€32.22
+12.6%
13.6%€39.49€28.21n/a5
Jan ’25€26.00
€33.22
+27.8%
13.3%€38.91€27.79n/a5
Dec ’24€25.40
€33.22
+30.8%
13.3%€38.91€27.79€34.805
Nov ’24€30.20
€37.71
+24.9%
5.6%€39.88€33.55€33.806
Oct ’24€31.40
€37.71
+20.1%
5.6%€39.88€33.55€34.406
Sep ’24€31.00
€37.41
+20.7%
5.6%€39.44€33.18€35.606
Aug ’24€33.80
€41.58
+23.0%
5.5%€45.89€39.01€31.206
Jul ’24€32.00
€42.37
+32.4%
6.0%€46.71€39.70€28.405
Jun ’24€35.20
€42.19
+19.8%
5.3%€45.72€39.72€27.005
May ’24€35.40
€41.93
+18.4%
7.1%€47.32€39.38€28.405
Apr ’24€33.40
€41.93
+25.5%
7.1%€47.32€39.38€29.605
Mar ’24€33.20
€41.11
+23.8%
8.2%€47.39€36.67€27.806
Feb ’24€33.20
€43.07
+29.7%
9.6%€48.65€37.37€28.606
Jan ’24€33.40
€43.11
+29.1%
9.8%€47.92€36.81€26.006
Dec ’23€39.40
€42.44
+7.7%
9.3%€47.42€36.43€25.406

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 06:03
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Open House Group Co., Ltd. is covered by 10 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Tomoyoshi OmuroBofA Global Research
Kazue YanagisawaCLSA
Jiro KojimaDaiwa Securities Co. Ltd.