Mattel, Inc.

DB:MTT Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.9b

Mattel Valuation

Is MTT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTT (€17.21) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€24.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTT?

Key metric: As MTT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MTT. This is calculated by dividing MTT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MTT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11x
EarningsUS$548.27m
Market CapUS$6.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.6x
ZPF Zapf Creation
176.5xn/a€199.4m
PUM PUMA
24.9x16.8%€6.4b
BOSS Hugo Boss
13.6x13.3%€2.9b
ULC UNITEDLABELS
19.3x29.4%€11.3m
MTT Mattel
11x3.8%€6.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (58.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MTT 11.0xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the Global Leisure industry average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ratio15.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€17.21
€23.37
+35.8%
9.6%€27.17€19.41n/a14
Dec ’25€17.72
€22.79
+28.6%
9.6%€26.63€19.02n/a14
Nov ’25€18.67
€22.16
+18.7%
9.6%€25.89€18.50n/a14
Oct ’25€17.00
€21.44
+26.1%
9.9%€24.39€18.07n/a13
Sep ’25€17.20
€21.66
+26.0%
11.2%€24.87€16.81n/a13
Aug ’25€17.81
€21.66
+21.7%
11.2%€24.87€16.81n/a13
Jul ’25€15.18
€21.87
+44.1%
10.1%€25.10€18.59n/a14
Jun ’25€16.05
€21.87
+36.3%
10.1%€25.10€18.59n/a14
May ’25€17.24
€21.99
+27.6%
10.0%€25.17€18.64n/a14
Apr ’25€18.16
€21.43
+18.0%
9.3%€24.01€18.47n/a15
Mar ’25€17.62
€21.31
+20.9%
10.1%€24.14€17.64n/a14
Feb ’25€16.70
€20.92
+25.3%
10.5%€23.89€17.46n/a13
Jan ’25€17.18
€22.01
+28.1%
8.8%€24.08€17.60€17.0913
Dec ’24€17.78
€21.78
+22.5%
8.8%€23.83€17.41€17.7213
Nov ’24€17.95
€22.49
+25.3%
8.8%€24.60€17.98€18.6713
Oct ’24€20.84
€23.56
+13.0%
6.2%€25.70€19.99€17.0012
Sep ’24€20.34
€22.54
+10.8%
5.9%€23.88€19.29€17.2011
Aug ’24€19.48
€22.24
+14.2%
5.6%€23.64€19.10€17.8111
Jul ’24€17.63
€21.00
+19.1%
11.0%€23.92€16.56€15.1811
Jun ’24€16.21
€21.34
+31.6%
11.5%€24.87€16.58€16.0512
May ’24€16.23
€21.02
+29.5%
11.5%€24.50€16.34€17.2412
Apr ’24€16.30
€21.32
+30.8%
11.4%€24.89€16.59€18.1612
Mar ’24€16.89
€22.19
+31.4%
11.4%€25.45€16.97€17.6212
Feb ’24€18.88
€23.74
+25.7%
14.0%€30.04€17.30€16.7013
Jan ’24€16.78
€25.75
+53.5%
14.0%€31.93€18.38€17.1813

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/05 13:37
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Mattel, Inc. is covered by 38 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Felicia Kantor HendrixBarclays