Beazer Homes USA Valuation

Is BE4A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BE4A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BE4A (€32.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€103.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BE4A is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BE4A?

Key metric: As BE4A is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BE4A. This is calculated by dividing BE4A's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BE4A's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.6x
EarningsUS$140.18m
Market CapUS$1.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BE4A's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BE4A vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.6x
EIN3 Einhell Germany
12.4x9.2%€723.6m
SUR Surteco Group
34.8x22.8%€305.5m
LEI Leifheit
20.9x15.4%€154.9m
BOSS Hugo Boss
10.3x13.1%€2.2b
BE4A Beazer Homes USA
7.6x12.5%€1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BE4A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (19.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BE4A's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BE4A 7.6xIndustry Avg. 12.4xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BE4A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BE4A's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BE4A PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio15.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BE4A is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BE4A forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€32.60
€40.57
+24.4%
4.9%€42.95€38.18n/a4
Nov ’25€28.00
€36.43
+30.1%
7.7%€40.73€33.49n/a4
Oct ’25€30.20
€35.34
+17.0%
8.5%€40.52€33.32n/a4
Sep ’25€27.60
€35.01
+26.8%
4.3%€37.52€33.86n/a4
Aug ’25€30.80
€34.57
+12.2%
8.5%€38.72€30.42n/a4
Jul ’25€25.20
€34.57
+37.2%
8.5%€38.72€30.42n/a4
Jun ’25€25.00
€34.57
+38.3%
8.5%€38.72€30.42n/a4
May ’25€26.20
€34.44
+31.4%
10.1%€39.09€30.72n/a3
Apr ’25€29.00
€34.44
+18.8%
10.1%€39.10€30.72n/a3
Mar ’25€28.60
€34.44
+20.4%
10.1%€39.10€30.72n/a3
Feb ’25€29.00
€33.21
+14.5%
9.1%€36.90€29.52n/a3
Jan ’25€30.40
€32.52
+7.0%
7.1%€34.98€29.46n/a3
Dec ’24€23.80
€32.52
+36.7%
7.1%€34.98€29.46n/a3
Nov ’24€22.40
€32.52
+45.2%
7.1%€34.98€29.46€28.003
Oct ’24€23.80
€32.52
+36.7%
7.1%€34.98€29.46€30.203
Sep ’24€27.00
€32.52
+20.5%
7.1%€34.98€29.46€27.603
Aug ’24€31.60
€32.13
+1.7%
7.1%€34.56€29.10€30.803
Jul ’24€25.60
€25.35
-1.0%
13.3%€29.32€21.07€25.203
Jun ’24€19.20
€19.66
+2.4%
5.8%€20.87€18.15€25.003
May ’24€15.50
€19.66
+26.9%
5.8%€20.87€18.15€26.203
Apr ’24€13.90
€18.95
+36.4%
10.1%€21.44€16.78€29.003
Mar ’24€14.00
€18.95
+35.4%
10.1%€21.44€16.78€28.603
Feb ’24€14.90
€17.50
+17.4%
7.4%€19.34€16.58€29.003
Jan ’24€12.00
€17.42
+45.1%
13.6%€20.32€14.51€30.403
Dec ’23€13.00
€17.42
+34.0%
13.6%€20.32€14.51€23.803
Nov ’23€11.30
€23.34
+106.5%
25.6%€29.42€15.22€22.403

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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