Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 09
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 119% After last week's 119% share price gain to €1.13, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 5.6x. Average forward P/E is 13x in the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 91% over the past three years. New Risk • Dec 24
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2022. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (29% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$10m (€1.55m market cap, or US$1.70m). Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2022 fiscal period end). Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.4% net profit margin). New Risk • Nov 30
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: €1.38m (US$1.50m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (28% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$10m (€1.38m market cap, or US$1.50m). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.4% net profit margin). Buying Opportunity • Nov 30
Now 88% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 96%. The fair value is estimated to be €2.27, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 14% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 17% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 24
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 26% After last week's 26% share price decline to €2.38, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 11.7x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 81% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €2.27 per share. Buying Opportunity • Nov 07
Now 26% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 48%. The fair value is estimated to be €4.50, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 15% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 54% per annum over the same time period. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 23
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 37% After last week's 37% share price decline to €4.10, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 13x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Consumer Durables industry in Europe. Total loss to shareholders of 66% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.55 per share. New Risk • Jul 13
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of German stocks, typically moving 6.9% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.9% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.4% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€32.3m market cap, or US$36.1m). New Risk • Jun 12
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 1.3% Last year net profit margin: 6.4% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (1.9x net interest cover). Minor Risks Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (1.3% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (€34.5m market cap, or US$37.1m). Reported Earnings • Jun 12
Full year 2022 earnings released Full year 2022 results: Revenue: €75.3m (down 26% from FY 2021). Net income: €1.00m (down 85% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 1.3% (down from 6.4% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by lower revenue. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 6.2% growth forecast for the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Announcement • Jun 09
Traumhaus AG Provides Sales Guidance for the Year 2023 Traumhaus AG announced that the company forecasts sales in a range of EUR 105 million to EUR 125 million. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 16
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22% After last week's 22% share price gain to €7.90, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 12x in the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 44% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €5.83 per share. Price Target Changed • Jan 06
Price target decreased to €20.25 Down from €23.90, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 246% above last closing price of €5.85. Stock is down 65% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of €0.56 for next year compared to €1.32 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 02
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 16% share price decline to €6.35, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Total loss to shareholders of 55% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €10.00 per share. Buying Opportunity • Nov 16
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 31%. The fair value is estimated to be €10.01, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 14%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 9.2% per annum over the same time period. Buying Opportunity • Oct 22
Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 29%. The fair value is estimated to be €10.93, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 14%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 13% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 9.2% per annum over the same time period. Upcoming Dividend • Jul 07
Upcoming dividend of €0.60 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 14 July 2022. Payment date: 18 July 2022. Trailing yield: 4.8%. Within top quartile of German dividend payers (4.6%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.7%). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 03
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 24% share price gain to €14.80, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 10x in the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Total returns to shareholders of 3.7% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €12.13 per share. Upcoming Dividend • Aug 18
Upcoming dividend of €0.50 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 25 August 2021. Payment date: 27 August 2021. Trailing yield: 2.9%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (3.1%). Higher than average of industry peers (2.2%). Price Target Changed • Apr 24
Price target increased to €22.90 Up from €20.35, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 20% above last closing price of €19.10. Stock is up 66% over the past year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 17
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 16% share price gain to €18.60, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27x. Average forward P/E is 14x in the Consumer Durables industry in Germany. Total returns to shareholders of 67% over the past year. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €31.33 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 15
New 90-day high: €14.20 The company is up 7.0% from its price of €13.30 on 17 November 2020. The German market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Consumer Durables industry, which is up 20% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €7.70 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 27
New 90-day high: €14.10 The company is up 1.0% from its price of €13.90 on 28 August 2020. The German market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Consumer Durables industry, which is up 13% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €6.58 per share. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 15
New 90-day low: €12.90 The company is down 11% from its price of €14.50 on 17 July 2020. The German market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Consumer Durables industry, which is up 14% over the same period. According to the Simply Wall St valuation model, the estimated intrinsic value of the company is €6.60 per share.