Leifheit Aktiengesellschaft Recorded A 9.6% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

The quarterly results for Leifheit Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:LEI) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at €60m, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at €0.85 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

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Taking into account the latest results, the three analysts covering Leifheit provided consensus estimates of €229.6m revenue in 2025, which would reflect a measurable 3.3% decline over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 38% to €0.67. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €238.3m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.66 in 2025. So it looks like the analysts have become a bit less optimistic after the latest results announcement, with revenues expected to fall even as the company is supposed to maintain EPS.

View our latest analysis for Leifheit

The average price target was reduced 8.6% to €22.17, with the lower revenue forecasts indicating negative sentiment towards Leifheit, even though earnings forecasts were unchanged. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. The most optimistic Leifheit analyst has a price target of €23.50 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €20.00. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. Over the past five years, revenues have declined around 2.8% annually. Worse, forecasts are essentially predicting the decline to accelerate, with the estimate for an annualised 6.5% decline in revenue until the end of 2025. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.2% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately Leifheit is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Still, earnings are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Leifheit's future valuation.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Leifheit analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Leifheit (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.