Thomson Reuters Corporation

DB:TOC Stock Report

Market Cap: €69.6b

Thomson Reuters Valuation

Is TOC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TOC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TOC (€154.05) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€117.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TOC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TOC?

Key metric: As TOC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TOC. This is calculated by dividing TOC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TOC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.5x
EarningsUS$2.23b
Market CapUS$72.50b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TOC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TOC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.1x
BDT Bertrandt
10.7x64.3%€182.4m
REL RELX
36.5x8.1%UK£69.1b
EXPN Experian
37x12.7%UK£34.9b
VRSK Verisk Analytics
44.1x7.9%US$41.1b
TOC Thomson Reuters
32.5x-1.2%€101.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TOC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the peer average (32.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TOC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TOC 32.5xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TOC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TOC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TOC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.5x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TOC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TOC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€154.05
€161.93
+5.1%
11.6%€187.72€132.11n/a7
Nov ’25€150.35
€155.27
+3.3%
10.4%€176.20€129.01n/a7
Oct ’25€152.50
€152.04
-0.3%
10.9%€173.34€123.95n/a7
Sep ’25€152.85
€151.18
-1.1%
8.8%€169.16€125.52n/a8
Aug ’25€149.70
€153.90
+2.8%
8.8%€171.34€127.13n/a8
Jul ’25€156.40
€155.26
-0.7%
9.3%€175.74€128.14n/a8
Jun ’25€155.85
€152.49
-2.2%
9.2%€173.05€126.17n/a8
May ’25€142.95
€150.08
+5.0%
10.3%€168.52€119.43n/a8
Apr ’25€144.00
€147.64
+2.5%
10.4%€166.16€117.76n/a8
Mar ’25€146.00
€140.99
-3.4%
10.6%€166.86€111.30n/a8
Feb ’25€137.00
€128.80
-6.0%
11.1%€149.83€103.29n/a9
Jan ’25€131.00
€126.15
-3.7%
10.3%€149.21€104.43n/a9
Dec ’24€128.00
€122.43
-4.4%
9.4%€146.21€102.32n/a9
Nov ’24€113.00
€128.19
+13.4%
6.6%€134.84€106.37€150.359
Oct ’24€116.00
€129.63
+11.7%
10.2%€154.79€102.56€152.508
Sep ’24€118.60
€128.32
+8.2%
10.4%€153.00€100.70€152.858
Aug ’24€122.80
€124.20
+1.1%
10.5%€146.59€99.35€149.708
Jul ’24€123.00
€125.44
+2.0%
10.5%€148.07€100.34€156.408
Jun ’24€121.37
€127.93
+5.4%
10.3%€152.69€105.27€155.857
May ’24€123.45
€118.94
-3.7%
7.2%€130.78€102.84€142.957
Apr ’24€124.49
€123.78
-0.6%
7.3%€136.14€106.87€144.007
Mar ’24€118.26
€123.78
+4.7%
7.3%€136.14€106.87€146.007
Feb ’24€113.08
€115.20
+1.9%
6.7%€130.80€103.50€137.007
Jan ’24€111.00
€115.01
+3.6%
8.4%€129.24€100.04€131.007
Dec ’23€116.19
€118.43
+1.9%
8.6%€135.12€102.92€128.007
Nov ’23€108.93
€126.20
+15.9%
8.1%€144.66€107.66€113.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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