Securitas Valuation

Is S7MB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of S7MB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: S7MB (€11.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: S7MB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for S7MB?

Key metric: As S7MB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for S7MB. This is calculated by dividing S7MB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is S7MB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.3x
EarningsSEK 4.73b
Market CapSEK 77.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does S7MB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for S7MB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.8x
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
BFSA Befesa
13.4x29.5%€740.0m
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
11x2.5%€691.2m
BCO Brink's
35.6x73.6%US$4.1b
S7MB Securitas
16.3x18.7%€77.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: S7MB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does S7MB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
S7MB 16.3xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: S7MB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is S7MB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

S7MB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: S7MB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst S7MB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€11.32
€11.49
+1.5%
21.7%€15.13€7.61n/a12
Nov ’25€10.65
€10.71
+0.6%
19.8%€13.95€7.67n/a12
Oct ’25€11.37
€10.83
-4.7%
21.0%€14.19€7.36n/a12
Sep ’25€10.65
€10.22
-4.0%
19.9%€13.90€7.21n/a11
Aug ’25€9.91
€10.09
+1.9%
20.8%€13.81€7.17n/a11
Jul ’25€9.33
€10.11
+8.3%
20.9%€14.05€7.20n/a11
Jun ’25€9.47
€9.98
+5.4%
20.7%€13.84€7.09n/a11
May ’25€9.40
€9.78
+4.0%
21.9%€13.69€6.93n/a11
Apr ’25€9.56
€9.96
+4.3%
21.9%€13.83€6.48n/a12
Mar ’25€10.12
€10.10
-0.1%
22.2%€14.13€6.62n/a12
Feb ’25€8.87
€9.20
+3.7%
25.0%€13.55€6.51n/a12
Jan ’25€8.94
€9.31
+4.1%
24.5%€13.71€6.63n/a12
Dec ’24€8.32
€9.02
+8.4%
24.8%€13.29€6.08n/a12
Nov ’24€7.54
€9.04
+19.9%
25.4%€13.02€6.07€10.6511
Oct ’24€7.21
€8.94
+24.1%
25.7%€13.00€6.07€11.3711
Sep ’24€7.46
€8.66
+16.0%
25.7%€12.60€5.88€10.6511
Aug ’24€7.61
€8.73
+14.8%
25.6%€12.96€6.05€9.9112
Jul ’24€7.43
€8.49
+14.2%
25.3%€12.80€5.98€9.3312
Jun ’24€6.93
€8.69
+25.4%
24.6%€13.18€6.15€9.4713
May ’24€7.96
€8.75
+9.9%
24.0%€13.23€6.17€9.4014
Apr ’24€7.98
€8.75
+9.7%
24.0%€13.27€6.19€9.5614
Mar ’24€8.16
€8.88
+8.9%
23.9%€13.48€6.29€10.1214
Feb ’24€8.37
€8.67
+3.6%
24.4%€13.28€6.20€8.8714
Jan ’24€7.90
€8.92
+12.9%
25.1%€13.75€6.42€8.9413
Dec ’23€7.92
€8.93
+12.8%
24.8%€13.71€6.40€8.3213
Nov ’23€8.30
€9.28
+11.8%
28.1%€16.54€6.43€7.5412

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies