Computershare Valuation

Is QCH undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of QCH when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: QCH (€19.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€38.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: QCH is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for QCH?

Key metric: As QCH is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for QCH. This is calculated by dividing QCH's market cap by their current earnings.
What is QCH's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.5x
EarningsUS$492.86m
Market CapUS$12.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does QCH's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for QCH vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
G Genpact
12.3x-0.3%US$8.1b
SSNC SS&C Technologies Holdings
26.7x14.3%US$18.9b
EXLS ExlService Holdings
39.6x15.3%US$7.4b
QCH Computershare
24.5x8.7%€18.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: QCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does QCH's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
QCH 24.5xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: QCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is QCH's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

QCH PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.5x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: QCH is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst QCH forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.50
€19.35
-0.8%
5.7%€21.18€17.25n/a13
Nov ’25€15.70
€18.19
+15.9%
5.3%€19.70€16.23n/a13
Oct ’25€15.60
€17.63
+13.0%
5.0%€19.05€15.69n/a13
Sep ’25€17.40
€17.49
+0.5%
6.1%€19.02€14.87n/a14
Aug ’25€16.70
€17.71
+6.0%
5.9%€19.65€15.36n/a14
Jul ’25€16.30
€17.75
+8.9%
5.8%€19.92€15.57n/a14
Jun ’25€16.10
€17.31
+7.5%
5.3%€18.65€15.31n/a14
May ’25€16.50
€17.39
+5.4%
5.5%€18.77€15.43n/a14
Apr ’25€15.60
€17.11
+9.7%
5.6%€18.73€15.40n/a13
Mar ’25€15.50
€16.92
+9.1%
5.5%€18.59€15.29n/a13
Feb ’25€14.90
€16.99
+14.0%
7.6%€19.40€14.46n/a12
Jan ’25€14.90
€16.91
+13.5%
8.0%€19.55€14.57n/a12
Dec ’24€14.10
€16.65
+18.1%
7.9%€19.29€14.38n/a12
Nov ’24€14.90
€17.18
+15.3%
7.6%€19.68€14.90€15.7011
Oct ’24€15.80
€16.32
+3.3%
8.3%€19.46€14.53€15.6011
Sep ’24€15.00
€15.79
+5.2%
7.8%€19.08€14.24€17.4013
Aug ’24€15.10
€15.91
+5.4%
8.3%€19.90€14.44€16.7013
Jul ’24€14.10
€15.78
+11.9%
9.1%€20.04€13.84€16.3013
Jun ’24€13.40
€15.98
+19.3%
9.5%€20.49€13.70€16.1013
May ’24€13.20
€16.86
+27.7%
10.9%€21.52€13.61€16.5013
Apr ’24€13.10
€17.67
+34.9%
10.8%€21.94€13.95€15.6013
Mar ’24€15.50
€18.10
+16.8%
8.9%€22.26€15.57€15.5014
Feb ’24€15.40
€18.52
+20.2%
8.9%€22.88€15.73€14.9014
Jan ’24€16.50
€19.58
+18.6%
10.4%€24.93€16.11€14.9014
Dec ’23€17.40
€20.12
+15.6%
10.4%€25.62€16.55€14.1014
Nov ’23€16.30
€19.48
+19.5%
11.8%€25.49€16.10€14.9014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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