Derichebourg Valuation

Is PNU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PNU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PNU (€4.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PNU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PNU?

Key metric: As PNU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PNU. This is calculated by dividing PNU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PNU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.6x
Earnings€96.80m
Market Cap€731.51m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PNU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PNU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.8x
BFSA Befesa
13.4x29.5%€740.0m
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
10.7x2.3%€691.2m
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
AAD Amadeus FiRe
12x7.2%€418.3m
PNU Derichebourg
7.6x30.0%€731.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PNU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PNU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNU 7.6xIndustry Avg. 14.6xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PNU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PNU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PNU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PNU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PNU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.59
€6.38
+39.0%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
Nov ’25€5.17
€6.38
+23.5%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
Oct ’25€5.19
€6.38
+23.0%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
Sep ’25€4.98
€6.38
+28.1%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
Aug ’25€4.75
€6.38
+34.3%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
Jul ’25€4.40
€6.38
+45.0%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
Jun ’25€5.15
€6.38
+23.9%
17.7%€8.20€5.00n/a5
May ’25€3.98
€5.89
+48.1%
13.4%€7.15€5.00n/a5
Apr ’25€4.37
€6.34
+45.1%
13.1%€7.40€5.00n/a5
Mar ’25€4.14
€6.34
+53.2%
13.1%€7.40€5.00n/a5
Feb ’25€4.72
€6.38
+35.1%
13.1%€7.40€5.00n/a5
Jan ’25€5.05
€6.38
+26.5%
13.1%€7.40€5.00n/a5
Dec ’24€4.77
€7.92
+66.2%
39.0%€13.80€5.00n/a5
Nov ’24€4.00
€9.06
+126.5%
31.7%€13.80€5.00€5.175
Oct ’24€4.68
€9.26
+97.7%
28.1%€13.80€6.00€5.195
Sep ’24€4.99
€9.26
+85.7%
28.1%€13.80€6.00€4.985
Aug ’24€5.48
€9.26
+69.1%
28.1%€13.80€6.00€4.755
Jul ’24€4.93
€9.26
+87.8%
28.1%€13.80€6.00€4.405
Jun ’24€4.86
€9.26
+90.4%
28.1%€13.80€6.00€5.155
May ’24€5.44
€8.13
+49.5%
15.3%€9.00€6.00€3.984
Apr ’24€5.39
€8.13
+50.9%
15.3%€9.00€6.00€4.374
Mar ’24€6.18
€8.38
+35.5%
17.6%€10.00€6.00€4.144
Feb ’24€6.59
€8.38
+27.2%
17.6%€10.00€6.00€4.724
Jan ’24€5.45
€8.13
+49.1%
23.2%€10.00€5.00€5.054
Dec ’23€5.11
€9.96
+95.1%
29.9%€13.80€5.00€4.775
Nov ’23€4.50
€9.96
+121.4%
29.9%€13.80€5.00€4.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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