Healthcare Services Group, Inc.

DB:HS1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €740.2m

Healthcare Services Group Valuation

Is HS1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HS1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HS1 (€9.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€65.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HS1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HS1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HS1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.9x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HS1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HS1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.6x
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
11.7x3.3%€695.0m
GBF Bilfinger
9.1x4.0%€1.6b
TTK TAKKT
55.6x40.8%€853.2m
BFSA Befesa
21.9x28.8%€1.1b
HS1 Healthcare Services Group
19x18.9%€796.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HS1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (24.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HS1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HS1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HS1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HS1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HS1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.85
€13.52
+37.3%
11.4%€15.86€12.13n/a4
Apr ’25€11.40
€13.46
+18.1%
11.4%€15.78€12.07n/a4
Mar ’25€11.60
€13.46
+16.1%
11.4%€15.78€12.07n/a4
Feb ’25€8.60
€11.72
+36.3%
18.7%€14.71€9.20n/a4
Jan ’25€9.25
€11.72
+26.7%
18.7%€14.71€9.20n/a4
Dec ’24€8.80
€11.72
+33.2%
18.7%€14.71€9.20n/a4
Nov ’24€8.85
€12.79
+44.5%
16.1%€15.16€9.47n/a4
Oct ’24€9.90
€14.74
+48.9%
9.4%€16.85€13.10n/a4
Sep ’24€10.60
€14.22
+34.2%
8.7%€16.41€12.77n/a5
Aug ’24€11.40
€14.22
+24.8%
8.7%€16.41€12.77n/a5
Jul ’24€13.70
€14.88
+8.6%
8.3%€16.33€12.70n/a5
Jun ’24€12.70
€14.88
+17.2%
8.3%€16.33€12.70n/a5
May ’24€14.20
€14.88
+4.8%
8.3%€16.33€12.70€10.005
Apr ’24€12.90
€14.25
+10.5%
10.4%€16.73€13.01€11.406
Mar ’24€12.40
€13.48
+8.7%
21.0%€16.83€7.95€11.606
Feb ’24€12.30
€12.97
+5.5%
21.3%€17.19€8.12€8.606
Jan ’24€11.30
€12.97
+14.8%
21.3%€17.19€8.12€9.256
Dec ’23€13.20
€15.28
+15.8%
30.0%€24.33€8.62€8.807
Nov ’23€14.10
€15.28
+8.4%
30.0%€24.33€8.62€8.857
Oct ’23€12.70
€15.92
+25.4%
24.7%€23.52€10.29€9.906
Sep ’23€13.90
€15.92
+14.5%
24.7%€23.52€10.29€10.606
Aug ’23€14.30
€15.92
+11.3%
24.7%€23.52€10.29€11.406
Jul ’23€16.90
€18.40
+8.8%
21.6%€24.63€12.79€13.706
Jun ’23€15.90
€18.40
+15.7%
21.6%€24.63€12.79€12.706
May ’23€16.70
€18.40
+10.2%
21.6%€24.63€12.79€14.206

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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