Arcadis Valuation

Is HIJ2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HIJ2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HIJ2 (€62.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€132.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HIJ2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HIJ2?

Key metric: As HIJ2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HIJ2. This is calculated by dividing HIJ2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HIJ2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.5x
Earnings€202.98m
Market Cap€5.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HIJ2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HIJ2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.2x
BDT Bertrandt
11x64.3%€188.0m
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
LTTS L&T Technology Services
44.3x13.4%₹577.7b
6532 BayCurrent Consulting
30.1x19.1%JP¥824.0b
HIJ2 Arcadis
27.5x19.0%€5.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HIJ2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the peer average (23.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HIJ2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HIJ2 27.5xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies13PE01224364860+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HIJ2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HIJ2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HIJ2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HIJ2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HIJ2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€62.25
€72.50
+16.5%
6.1%€81.00€66.00n/a8
Nov ’25€64.45
€72.50
+12.5%
6.1%€81.00€66.00n/a8
Oct ’25€62.50
€70.14
+12.2%
5.5%€75.00€65.00n/a7
Sep ’25€65.45
€67.64
+3.4%
6.2%€73.00€60.00n/a7
Aug ’25€65.40
€67.00
+2.4%
5.4%€72.50€60.00n/a7
Jul ’25€59.55
€65.36
+9.8%
3.8%€68.50€60.00n/a7
Jun ’25€60.10
€64.64
+7.6%
4.4%€68.50€60.00n/a7
May ’25€57.30
€64.64
+12.8%
4.4%€68.50€60.00n/a7
Apr ’25€56.40
€62.79
+11.3%
4.5%€68.50€60.00n/a7
Mar ’25€54.05
€58.79
+8.8%
4.2%€61.00€53.50n/a7
Feb ’25€50.25
€56.79
+13.0%
4.5%€60.00€53.00n/a7
Jan ’25€48.34
€54.92
+13.6%
6.4%€60.00€49.00n/a6
Dec ’24€46.18
€54.92
+18.9%
6.4%€60.00€49.00n/a6
Nov ’24€39.80
€49.75
+25.0%
8.3%€53.50€41.00€64.456
Oct ’24€42.80
€49.25
+15.1%
7.8%€52.00€41.00€62.506
Sep ’24€42.78
€48.92
+14.3%
8.1%€52.00€41.00€65.456
Aug ’24€39.58
€48.30
+22.0%
8.4%€52.00€41.00€65.405
Jul ’24€37.86
€49.50
+30.7%
3.8%€51.50€47.00€59.553
Jun ’24€37.98
€48.70
+28.2%
6.1%€51.50€44.60€60.103
May ’24€37.06
€48.03
+29.6%
5.9%€51.50€44.60€57.303
Apr ’24€37.42
€49.00
+30.9%
5.1%€51.50€46.50€56.402
Mar ’24€39.48
€49.00
+24.1%
5.1%€51.50€46.50€54.052
Feb ’24€39.96
€49.00
+22.6%
5.1%€51.50€46.50€50.252
Jan ’24€36.80
€46.25
+25.7%
0.5%€46.50€46.00€48.342
Dec ’23€38.02
€46.25
+21.6%
0.5%€46.50€46.00€46.182
Nov ’23€34.44
€45.00
+30.7%
2.2%€46.00€44.00€39.802

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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