Stock Analysis

Is Bilfinger (FRA:GBF) A Risky Investment?

DB:GBF
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Bilfinger SE (FRA:GBF) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Bilfinger

What Is Bilfinger's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Bilfinger had €264.2m of debt in March 2022, down from €374.9m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has €742.3m in cash, leading to a €478.1m net cash position.

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DB:GBF Debt to Equity History July 26th 2022

A Look At Bilfinger's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bilfinger had liabilities of €1.17b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €704.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €742.3m as well as receivables valued at €1.05b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €80.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Bilfinger shares are worth a total of €1.11b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Bilfinger also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Bilfinger has boosted its EBIT by 94%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bilfinger's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Bilfinger has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Bilfinger generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 88% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Bilfinger has €478.1m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €6.3m, being 88% of its EBIT. So we don't think Bilfinger's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Bilfinger you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.