Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A.

DB:FCC Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.1b

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas Valuation

Is FCC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FCC (€8.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€25.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FCC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCC?

Key metric: As FCC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FCC. This is calculated by dividing FCC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FCC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.7x
Earnings€613.94m
Market Cap€4.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FCC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FCC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average60.6x
HOT HOCHTIEF
11.8x2.9%€8.5b
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
185x57.3%€1.1b
B5A BAUER
31.2x38.2%€167.8m
KRN Krones
14.5x16.2%€3.6b
FCC Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas
6.7x-3.5%€4.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FCC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (60.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FCC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FCC 6.7xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FCC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.7x
Fair PE Ratio10.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FCC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.36
€14.20
+69.9%
10.3%€16.40€11.70n/a7
Nov ’25€12.54
€15.23
+21.4%
8.6%€17.40€13.50n/a7
Oct ’25€12.40
€15.59
+25.7%
7.2%€17.40€13.50n/a7
Sep ’25€12.62
€15.59
+23.5%
7.2%€17.40€13.50n/a7
Aug ’25€12.60
€15.59
+23.7%
7.2%€17.40€13.50n/a7
Jul ’25€14.06
€15.54
+10.5%
7.3%€17.40€13.50n/a7
Jun ’25€14.84
€15.54
+4.7%
7.3%€17.40€13.50n/a7
May ’25€12.70
€15.54
+22.4%
7.3%€17.40€13.50n/a7
Apr ’25€12.60
€15.82
+25.5%
5.1%€17.40€15.00n/a6
Mar ’25€12.90
€16.17
+25.4%
7.1%€18.30€15.00n/a7
Feb ’25€12.44
€16.17
+30.0%
7.1%€18.30€15.00n/a7
Jan ’25€14.44
€15.96
+10.5%
9.3%€18.30€13.40n/a7
Dec ’24€12.36
€15.96
+29.1%
9.3%€18.30€13.40n/a7
Nov ’24€11.94
€15.71
+31.6%
8.6%€18.30€13.40€12.547
Oct ’24€11.84
€15.44
+30.4%
10.4%€18.30€13.20€12.407
Sep ’24€11.88
€14.76
+24.3%
15.9%€18.30€10.00€12.628
Aug ’24€12.02
€14.79
+23.0%
15.9%€18.30€10.00€12.608
Jul ’24€11.82
€14.79
+25.1%
15.9%€18.30€10.00€14.068
Jun ’24€8.95
€14.07
+57.2%
18.6%€18.30€10.00€14.848
May ’24€9.19
€14.07
+53.1%
18.6%€18.30€10.00€12.708
Apr ’24€9.00
€13.97
+55.2%
18.5%€18.30€10.00€12.608
Mar ’24€9.08
€13.46
+48.2%
14.7%€15.40€10.00€12.908
Feb ’24€8.92
€13.46
+50.9%
14.7%€15.40€10.00€12.448
Jan ’24€8.55
€13.69
+60.2%
12.3%€15.40€10.00€14.448
Dec ’23€8.76
€13.69
+56.3%
12.3%€15.40€10.00€12.368
Nov ’23€8.37
€13.83
+65.2%
12.2%€15.40€10.00€11.948

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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