David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Bertrandt Aktiengesellschaft (ETR:BDT) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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How Much Debt Does Bertrandt Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Bertrandt had €227.7m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of €194.5m, its net debt is less, at about €33.2m.
A Look At Bertrandt's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Bertrandt had liabilities of €150.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of €336.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €194.5m and €204.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total €88.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Given Bertrandt has a market capitalization of €467.4m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Bertrandt has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.86 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 0.47 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Shareholders should be aware that Bertrandt's EBIT was down 94% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Bertrandt can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Bertrandt produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
While Bertrandt's interest cover makes us cautious about it, its track record of (not) growing its EBIT is no better. But its not so bad at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,. We think that Bertrandt's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Bertrandt that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About XTRA:BDT
Undervalued with adequate balance sheet.