United Rentals Valuation

Is UR3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UR3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UR3 (€688.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€780.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UR3 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UR3?

Key metric: As UR3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UR3. This is calculated by dividing UR3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UR3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.5x
EarningsUS$2.57b
Market CapUS$47.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UR3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UR3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.1x
BNR Brenntag
15.2x15.9%€8.3b
ENR Siemens Energy
33.8x22.1%€40.1b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.7x12.9%€29.1b
RHM Rheinmetall
38.8x29.9%€26.6b
UR3 United Rentals
18.5x8.9%€47.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the peer average (24.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UR3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UR3 18.5xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UR3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UR3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UR3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UR3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UR3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€688.20
€820.70
+19.3%
19.1%€1,187.46€541.50n/a19
Dec ’25€807.40
€809.47
+0.3%
18.9%€1,182.63€539.29n/a20
Nov ’25€746.00
€744.92
-0.1%
19.7%€1,138.98€522.34n/a20
Oct ’25€721.80
€680.33
-5.7%
23.1%€1,108.68€359.96n/a20
Sep ’25€654.40
€667.43
+2.0%
23.1%€1,109.29€360.16n/a19
Aug ’25€708.20
€685.28
-3.2%
22.0%€1,137.75€369.40n/a21
Jul ’25€598.40
€657.32
+9.8%
22.7%€1,154.92€373.76n/a22
Jun ’25€605.20
€647.67
+7.0%
23.8%€1,147.26€371.28n/a20
May ’25€661.40
€646.45
-2.3%
20.9%€1,051.65€373.92n/a21
Apr ’25€663.00
€609.32
-8.1%
23.5%€1,035.45€368.16n/a21
Mar ’25€647.00
€595.08
-8.0%
24.2%€1,038.15€369.12n/a20
Feb ’25€575.20
€564.67
-1.8%
24.7%€1,035.00€368.00n/a20
Jan ’25€522.00
€467.75
-10.4%
26.8%€893.45€292.67n/a19
Dec ’24€435.80
€451.89
+3.7%
26.9%€901.21€276.87€807.4020
Nov ’24€383.20
€466.08
+21.6%
27.6%€930.21€285.78€746.0019
Oct ’24€423.10
€474.10
+12.1%
28.3%€932.86€287.47€721.8018
Sep ’24€439.20
€459.46
+4.6%
27.5%€901.31€277.75€654.4019
Aug ’24€421.50
€446.15
+5.8%
27.8%€887.14€273.94€708.2019
Jul ’24€403.20
€428.63
+6.3%
29.5%€899.86€272.35€598.4020
Jun ’24€310.20
€423.04
+36.4%
29.0%€892.03€269.98€605.2021
May ’24€322.20
€427.23
+32.6%
28.9%€891.45€269.80€661.4021
Apr ’24€357.90
€443.10
+23.8%
27.5%€880.18€274.24€663.0020
Mar ’24€439.10
€455.42
+3.7%
26.4%€895.57€279.04€647.0020
Feb ’24€401.75
€431.40
+7.4%
27.4%€875.81€272.88€575.2019
Jan ’24€331.00
€390.84
+18.1%
24.8%€728.78€253.61€522.0018
Dec ’23€336.40
€393.75
+17.0%
26.0%€750.20€261.06€435.8018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 10:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

United Rentals, Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Mircea DobreBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research