Service Stream Valuation

Is UFY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UFY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UFY (€0.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UFY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UFY?

Key metric: As UFY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UFY. This is calculated by dividing UFY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UFY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio30.8x
EarningsAU$32.30m
Market CapAU$995.84m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UFY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UFY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average64x
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
179.5x56.4%€1.0b
B5A BAUER
30.7x38.2%€170.0m
HOT HOCHTIEF
11.7x2.9%€8.5b
3SQ1 AHT Syngas Technology
34.2xn/a€32.3m
UFY Service Stream
30.8x15.4%€995.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UFY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the peer average (64x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UFY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UFY 30.8xIndustry Avg. 12.7xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UFY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UFY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UFY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio30.8x
Fair PE Ratio15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UFY is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UFY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.96
€1.01
+5.5%
6.7%€1.07€0.86n/a6
Nov ’25€0.91
€1.01
+11.9%
6.7%€1.07€0.86n/a6
Oct ’25€0.92
€0.98
+7.0%
6.5%€1.04€0.86n/a5
Sep ’25€0.86
€0.97
+13.3%
6.5%€1.03€0.86n/a5
Aug ’25€0.80
€0.84
+4.7%
8.8%€0.94€0.73n/a5
Jul ’25€0.73
€0.80
+9.7%
7.5%€0.89€0.74n/a5
Jun ’25€0.74
€0.76
+1.9%
7.6%€0.87€0.72n/a5
May ’25€0.76
€0.76
+0.5%
7.6%€0.87€0.72n/a5
Apr ’25€0.73
€0.76
+4.0%
7.6%€0.87€0.72n/a5
Mar ’25€0.67
€0.76
+13.3%
7.6%€0.87€0.72n/a5
Feb ’25€0.54
€0.67
+25.1%
12.4%€0.82€0.55n/a6
Jan ’25€0.56
€0.67
+18.5%
12.4%€0.82€0.55n/a6
Dec ’24€0.53
€0.66
+25.7%
12.8%€0.82€0.55n/a6
Nov ’24€0.51
€0.65
+29.2%
13.8%€0.81€0.54€0.915
Oct ’24€0.56
€0.65
+17.7%
16.7%€0.82€0.49€0.925
Sep ’24€0.53
€0.62
+17.6%
17.3%€0.80€0.47€0.866
Aug ’24€0.53
€0.59
+12.1%
17.4%€0.76€0.42€0.806
Jul ’24€0.48
€0.57
+17.8%
18.7%€0.78€0.43€0.736
Jun ’24€0.37
€0.55
+46.6%
17.5%€0.74€0.42€0.746
May ’24€0.39
€0.55
+40.6%
17.5%€0.74€0.42€0.766
Apr ’24€0.38
€0.57
+47.3%
18.0%€0.77€0.43€0.736
Mar ’24€0.44
€0.57
+28.5%
18.0%€0.77€0.43€0.676
Feb ’24€0.39
€0.58
+48.2%
21.0%€0.73€0.43€0.545
Jan ’24€0.42
€0.58
+36.0%
20.6%€0.72€0.42€0.565
Dec ’23€0.43
€0.62
+42.5%
15.4%€0.74€0.49€0.535
Nov ’23€0.48
€0.70
+45.7%
11.7%€0.79€0.60€0.514

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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