Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

DB:SWF Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.9b

Stanley Black & Decker Valuation

Is SWF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWF (€82.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€101.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWF is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SWF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA17.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SWF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SWF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.9x
RAA RATIONAL
8.1x7.4%€9.1b
G1A GEA Group
1.2x3.4%€6.6b
KRN Krones
0.8x6.7%€3.9b
GIL DMG MORI
1.4xn/a€3.5b
SWF Stanley Black & Decker
0.9x1.9%€13.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SWF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€82.78
€89.75
+8.4%
10.7%€102.83€74.78n/a13
Apr ’25€90.62
€87.74
-3.2%
10.6%€100.68€73.22n/a13
Mar ’25€82.52
€88.59
+7.4%
10.6%€101.66€73.94n/a13
Feb ’25€83.10
€90.95
+9.4%
10.6%€108.56€75.44n/a13
Jan ’25€89.40
€87.40
-2.2%
10.9%€107.25€72.71n/a13
Dec ’24€83.20
€86.63
+4.1%
10.8%€107.69€73.01n/a13
Nov ’24€80.26
€89.70
+11.8%
10.8%€111.14€75.35n/a13
Oct ’24€79.16
€94.37
+19.2%
8.9%€114.23€81.86n/a14
Sep ’24€86.22
€91.86
+6.5%
7.9%€110.60€82.95n/a15
Aug ’24€89.94
€86.44
-3.9%
8.9%€109.26€77.39n/a14
Jul ’24€86.52
€84.36
-2.5%
7.9%€100.78€69.63n/a14
Jun ’24€70.38
€86.22
+22.5%
7.9%€102.93€71.11n/a14
May ’24€75.00
€83.77
+11.7%
9.5%€99.83€72.60n/a13
Apr ’24€73.46
€89.14
+21.3%
9.7%€103.63€75.37€90.6213
Mar ’24€80.42
€89.62
+11.4%
9.7%€103.77€75.47€82.5213
Feb ’24€81.78
€79.13
-3.2%
10.3%€92.30€63.69€83.1015
Jan ’24€70.72
€81.53
+15.3%
13.6%€110.19€64.98€89.4014
Dec ’23€79.26
€84.80
+7.0%
13.7%€114.79€67.70€83.2014
Nov ’23€79.54
€96.09
+20.8%
25.8%€156.89€69.84€80.2614
Oct ’23€78.82
€116.19
+47.4%
19.9%€176.05€88.52€79.1614
Sep ’23€86.36
€116.19
+34.5%
19.9%€176.05€88.52€86.2214
Aug ’23€95.50
€130.09
+36.2%
27.2%€198.90€87.75€89.9414
Jul ’23€99.66
€147.28
+47.8%
15.3%€195.35€105.34€86.5215
Jun ’23€107.90
€146.15
+35.5%
13.7%€190.07€102.49€70.3815
May ’23€119.35
€160.69
+34.6%
20.3%€237.05€104.30€75.0015
Apr ’23€126.95
€181.59
+43.0%
15.6%€224.15€125.52€73.4615

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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