Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

DB:SWF Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.8b

Stanley Black & Decker Valuation

Is SWF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€131.86
Fair Value
36.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SWF (€83.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€131.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWF?

Key metric: As SWF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SWF. This is calculated by dividing SWF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SWF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio46.6x
EarningsUS$286.30m
Market CapUS$13.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SWF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SWF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.2x
G1A GEA Group
21x9.0%€8.5b
RAA RATIONAL
41.2x7.1%€9.7b
GIL DMG MORI
22.4xn/a€3.6b
KRN Krones
16.3x15.9%€4.1b
SWF Stanley Black & Decker
46.6x38.6%€13.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.6x) compared to the peer average (25.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SWF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
SWF 46.6xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.6x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio46.6x
Fair PE Ratio33.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (46.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€83.88
€97.78
+16.6%
10.6%€116.33€84.23n/a15
Feb ’26€87.08
€97.69
+12.2%
13.3%€129.64€83.55n/a15
Jan ’26€76.98
€99.45
+29.2%
12.2%€129.48€85.36n/a15
Dec ’25€84.14
€98.80
+17.4%
12.1%€128.63€85.75n/a15
Nov ’25€86.52
€99.84
+15.4%
14.8%€140.10€81.03n/a15
Oct ’25€98.54
€94.88
-3.7%
11.4%€121.96€79.50n/a14
Sep ’25€91.86
€93.74
+2.0%
12.3%€123.20€80.31n/a13
Aug ’25€95.12
€93.94
-1.2%
13.5%€124.67€73.88n/a13
Jul ’25€73.26
€85.80
+17.1%
9.6%€102.99€73.03n/a13
Jun ’25€78.68
€86.26
+9.6%
9.7%€101.85€72.22n/a12
May ’25€84.72
€90.20
+6.5%
10.7%€103.35€75.16n/a13
Apr ’25€90.62
€88.59
-2.2%
10.6%€101.66€73.94n/a13
Mar ’25€82.52
€88.59
+7.4%
10.6%€101.66€73.94n/a13
Feb ’25€83.10
€90.95
+9.4%
10.6%€108.56€75.44€87.0813
Jan ’25€89.40
€87.40
-2.2%
10.9%€107.25€72.71€76.9813
Dec ’24€83.20
€86.63
+4.1%
10.8%€107.69€73.01€84.1413
Nov ’24€80.26
€89.70
+11.8%
10.8%€111.14€75.35€86.5213
Oct ’24€79.16
€94.37
+19.2%
8.9%€114.23€81.86€98.5414
Sep ’24€86.22
€91.86
+6.5%
7.9%€110.60€82.95€91.8615
Aug ’24€89.94
€86.44
-3.9%
8.9%€109.26€77.39€95.1214
Jul ’24€86.52
€84.36
-2.5%
7.9%€100.78€69.63€73.2614
Jun ’24€70.38
€86.22
+22.5%
7.9%€102.93€71.11€78.6814
May ’24€75.00
€83.77
+11.7%
9.5%€99.83€72.60€84.7213
Apr ’24€73.46
€89.14
+21.3%
9.7%€103.63€75.37€90.6213
Mar ’24€80.42
€89.62
+11.4%
9.7%€103.77€75.47€82.5213
Feb ’24€81.78
€79.13
-3.2%
10.3%€92.30€63.69€83.1015
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 15 Analysts
€97.98
Fair Value
14.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 17:33
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/12/28
Annual Earnings2024/12/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research