Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

DB:SWF Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.1b

Stanley Black & Decker Valuation

Is SWF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SWF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SWF (€75.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€195.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SWF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SWF?

Key metric: As SWF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SWF. This is calculated by dividing SWF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SWF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$15.38b
Market CapUS$12.64b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SWF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SWF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3x
G1A GEA Group
1.5x4.0%€8.0b
RAA RATIONAL
8.1x7.8%€9.5b
GIL DMG MORI
1.5xn/a€3.6b
KRN Krones
0.7x7.1%€3.7b
SWF Stanley Black & Decker
0.8x2.6%€12.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SWF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SWF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HDD Heidelberger Druckmaschinen
0.1x3.7%US$293.73m
SF3 STS Group
0.08x2.5%US$25.71m
SNG Singulus Technologies
0.1x17.4%US$10.72m
SCM SCHUMAG
0.07xn/aUS$3.76m
SWF 0.8xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies10PS00.61.21.82.43+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SWF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SWF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SWF is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SWF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€75.44
€98.92
+31.1%
11.9%€130.26€85.88n/a14
Dec ’25€84.14
€98.80
+17.4%
12.1%€128.63€85.75n/a15
Nov ’25€86.52
€99.84
+15.4%
14.8%€140.10€81.03n/a15
Oct ’25€98.54
€94.88
-3.7%
11.4%€121.96€79.50n/a14
Sep ’25€91.86
€93.74
+2.0%
12.3%€123.20€80.31n/a13
Aug ’25€95.12
€93.94
-1.2%
13.5%€124.67€73.88n/a13
Jul ’25€73.26
€85.80
+17.1%
9.6%€102.99€73.03n/a13
Jun ’25€78.68
€86.26
+9.6%
9.7%€101.85€72.22n/a12
May ’25€84.72
€90.20
+6.5%
10.7%€103.35€75.16n/a13
Apr ’25€90.62
€88.59
-2.2%
10.6%€101.66€73.94n/a13
Mar ’25€82.52
€88.59
+7.4%
10.6%€101.66€73.94n/a13
Feb ’25€83.10
€90.95
+9.4%
10.6%€108.56€75.44n/a13
Jan ’25€89.40
€87.40
-2.2%
10.9%€107.25€72.71n/a13
Dec ’24€83.20
€86.63
+4.1%
10.8%€107.69€73.01€84.1413
Nov ’24€80.26
€89.70
+11.8%
10.8%€111.14€75.35€86.5213
Oct ’24€79.16
€94.37
+19.2%
8.9%€114.23€81.86€98.5414
Sep ’24€86.22
€91.86
+6.5%
7.9%€110.60€82.95€91.8615
Aug ’24€89.94
€86.44
-3.9%
8.9%€109.26€77.39€95.1214
Jul ’24€86.52
€84.36
-2.5%
7.9%€100.78€69.63€73.2614
Jun ’24€70.38
€86.22
+22.5%
7.9%€102.93€71.11€78.6814
May ’24€75.00
€83.77
+11.7%
9.5%€99.83€72.60€84.7213
Apr ’24€73.46
€89.14
+21.3%
9.7%€103.63€75.37€90.6213
Mar ’24€80.42
€89.62
+11.4%
9.7%€103.77€75.47€82.5213
Feb ’24€81.78
€79.13
-3.2%
10.3%€92.30€63.69€83.1015
Jan ’24€70.72
€81.53
+15.3%
13.6%€110.19€64.98€89.4014
Dec ’23€79.26
€84.80
+7.0%
13.7%€114.79€67.70€83.2014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 05:56
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is covered by 39 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Christopher GrajaArgus Research Company
Timothy WojsBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research