Sumitomo Valuation

Is SUMA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SUMA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SUMA (€19.73) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€23.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SUMA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SUMA?

Key metric: As SUMA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SUMA. This is calculated by dividing SUMA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SUMA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.2x
EarningsJP¥355.22b
Market CapJP¥3.97t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SUMA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SUMA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
BNR Brenntag
15.5x15.9%€8.4b
RHM Rheinmetall
38.3x28.7%€26.3b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.5x11.6%€28.4b
MTX MTU Aero Engines
23.4x10.3%€16.6b
SUMA Sumitomo
11.2x10.2%€4.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SUMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SUMA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SUMA 11.2xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies12PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SUMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SUMA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SUMA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio20.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SUMA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SUMA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.73
€25.18
+27.7%
13.6%€32.01€21.49n/a10
Nov ’25€19.00
€24.69
+29.9%
13.3%€31.47€21.12n/a10
Oct ’25€20.50
€25.69
+25.3%
12.7%€32.72€21.96n/a11
Sep ’25€21.37
€27.35
+28.0%
12.5%€32.22€21.62n/a11
Aug ’25€21.97
€27.37
+24.6%
9.4%€32.06€24.66n/a10
Jul ’25€22.92
€25.46
+11.1%
10.1%€30.34€21.00n/a10
Jun ’25€24.31
€24.51
+0.8%
13.0%€30.52€20.43n/a10
May ’25€25.10
€23.65
-5.8%
9.9%€27.60€19.01n/a10
Apr ’25€22.60
€22.71
+0.5%
10.1%€25.67€18.94n/a10
Mar ’25€22.35
€22.09
-1.1%
11.8%€25.81€19.05n/a10
Feb ’25€21.75
€21.39
-1.7%
7.9%€24.90€19.30n/a10
Jan ’25€19.36
€21.52
+11.1%
9.7%€25.64€18.59n/a10
Dec ’24€20.15
€20.48
+1.6%
10.6%€25.04€18.09n/a10
Nov ’24€18.54
€20.30
+9.5%
10.4%€25.25€18.24€19.0010
Oct ’24€19.42
€20.39
+5.0%
10.1%€25.29€18.27€20.5010
Sep ’24€19.00
€20.29
+6.8%
11.4%€25.40€16.64€21.3710
Aug ’24€19.20
€20.70
+7.8%
11.4%€26.23€17.18€21.9710
Jul ’24€19.44
€19.05
-2.0%
16.1%€25.34€14.57€22.9210
Jun ’24€18.20
€17.58
-3.4%
10.5%€20.82€15.44€24.319
May ’24€16.66
€16.87
+1.2%
10.0%€20.55€15.25€25.109
Apr ’24€15.90
€17.97
+13.0%
10.5%€22.04€16.35€22.609
Mar ’24€16.07
€17.14
+6.7%
12.6%€21.52€13.89€22.359
Feb ’24€16.73
€17.23
+3.0%
12.8%€21.90€14.13€21.7510
Jan ’24€15.33
€16.95
+10.6%
13.8%€21.82€14.08€19.3610
Dec ’23€15.47
€15.67
+1.3%
12.1%€19.34€13.33€20.1510
Nov ’23€13.25
€15.05
+13.6%
10.9%€19.06€13.14€18.5410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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