Penta-Ocean Construction Co., Ltd.

DB:PO6 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.0b

Penta-Ocean Construction Valuation

Is PO6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PO6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PO6 (€3.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PO6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PO6?

Key metric: As PO6 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PO6. This is calculated by dividing PO6's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PO6's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.1x
EarningsJP¥18.96b
Market CapJP¥171.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PO6's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PO6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
B5A BAUER
30.5x38.2%€166.1m
HOT HOCHTIEF
11.9x2.9%€8.6b
KSB KSB SE KGaA
7.8x10.5%€1.1b
STM Stabilus
12.3x16.6%€885.5m
PO6 Penta-Ocean Construction
9.1x10.3%€171.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PO6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PO6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PO6 9.1xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PO6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PO6's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PO6 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.1x
Fair PE Ratio12.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PO6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PO6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.60
€5.13
+42.4%
4.6%€5.51€4.83n/a5
Nov ’25€3.70
€5.31
+43.4%
4.6%€5.70€5.00n/a5
Oct ’25€3.92
€5.31
+35.4%
4.6%€5.70€5.00n/a5
Sep ’25€3.92
€5.51
+40.7%
6.1%€6.07€5.12n/a5
Aug ’25€3.90
€5.06
+29.7%
6.1%€5.57€4.70n/a5
Jul ’25€3.78
€5.06
+33.9%
6.1%€5.57€4.70n/a5
Jun ’25€3.62
€5.58
+54.1%
9.4%€6.15€4.92n/a5
May ’25€4.60
€6.10
+32.6%
8.8%€6.61€5.14n/a5
Apr ’25€4.50
€6.10
+35.5%
8.8%€6.61€5.14n/a5
Mar ’25€4.68
€6.10
+30.3%
8.8%€6.61€5.14n/a5
Feb ’25€4.82
€6.20
+28.6%
8.8%€6.72€5.23n/a5
Jan ’25€4.92
€6.34
+28.8%
9.5%€6.96€5.42n/a4
Dec ’24€4.84
€6.11
+26.2%
8.5%€6.69€5.20n/a5
Nov ’24€5.50
€6.09
+10.7%
7.3%€6.59€5.27€3.705
Oct ’24€5.50
€6.09
+10.7%
7.3%€6.59€5.27€3.925
Sep ’24€5.35
€6.09
+13.8%
7.3%€6.59€5.27€3.925
Aug ’24€4.78
€5.62
+17.5%
7.0%€6.16€5.00€3.905
Jul ’24€4.78
€5.47
+14.4%
5.2%€5.74€4.97€3.785
Jun ’24€4.64
€5.63
+21.4%
7.4%€6.03€4.85€3.625
May ’24€4.30
€5.63
+31.0%
7.4%€6.03€4.85€4.605
Apr ’24€4.24
€5.63
+32.8%
7.4%€6.03€4.85€4.505
Mar ’24€4.34
€5.63
+29.8%
7.4%€6.03€4.85€4.685
Feb ’24€4.38
€5.63
+28.6%
7.4%€6.03€4.85€4.825
Jan ’24€4.28
€5.63
+31.6%
7.4%€6.03€4.85€4.925
Dec ’23€4.42
€5.77
+30.6%
5.6%€6.22€5.32€4.845
Nov ’23€4.86
€5.93
+21.9%
5.7%€6.23€5.33€5.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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