PGT Innovations Valuation

Is P9I undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of P9I when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: P9I (€38.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€45.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: P9I is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for P9I?

Key metric: As P9I is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for P9I. This is calculated by dividing P9I's market cap by their current earnings.
What is P9I's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.8x
EarningsUS$107.40m
Market CapUS$2.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does P9I's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for P9I vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.6x
VIB3 Villeroy & Boch
14.4x43.5%€407.1m
ST5 STEICO
9.6x-7.6%€266.2m
WUG Westag
24.1xn/a€117.0m
TSS InnoTec TSS
10.2xn/a€58.4m
P9I PGT Innovations
22.8x19.9%€2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: P9I is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does P9I's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
P9I 22.8xIndustry Avg. 19.7xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: P9I is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the European Building industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is P9I's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

P9I PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.8x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: P9I is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst P9I forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
May ’25n/a
€38.18
0%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Apr ’25€38.60
€38.18
-1.1%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Mar ’25€38.60
€38.18
-1.1%
6.6%€41.27€34.23n/a4
Feb ’25€38.20
€37.94
-0.7%
6.6%€41.01€34.00n/a4
Jan ’25€37.20
€35.72
-4.0%
5.5%€38.47€33.89n/a3
Dec ’24€29.40
€34.28
+16.6%
6.2%€36.38€30.78n/a4
Nov ’24€28.20
€33.68
+19.4%
5.4%€35.80€31.09n/a4
Oct ’24€26.20
€30.03
+14.6%
10.9%€33.80€25.12n/a4
Sep ’24€25.80
€30.03
+16.4%
10.9%€33.80€25.12n/a4
Aug ’24€26.00
€29.17
+12.2%
11.5%€32.96€24.05n/a4
Jul ’24€26.80
€29.50
+10.1%
9.3%€32.52€25.09n/a4
Jun ’24€23.20
€28.04
+20.9%
8.5%€30.34€24.82n/a4
May ’24€23.00
€26.59
+15.6%
14.0%€30.12€21.45n/a4
Apr ’24€20.80
€25.20
+21.2%
7.7%€27.19€22.04€38.604
Mar ’24€19.80
€24.03
+21.4%
16.3%€27.20€17.35€38.604
Feb ’24€19.80
€23.40
+18.2%
15.8%€27.01€17.23€38.204
Jan ’24€16.90
€24.60
+45.6%
17.4%€28.25€17.42€37.204
Dec ’23€18.80
€25.96
+38.1%
15.9%€29.81€19.23€29.404
Nov ’23€20.80
€26.61
+27.9%
12.8%€29.68€21.50€28.204

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies