ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A.

DB:OCI1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €11.2b

ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios Valuation

Is OCI1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OCI1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OCI1 (€43.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€52.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OCI1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OCI1?

Key metric: As OCI1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OCI1. This is calculated by dividing OCI1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OCI1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
Earnings€809.12m
Market Cap€11.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OCI1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OCI1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average63.2x
HOT HOCHTIEF
12.3x2.5%€8.9b
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
187.6x55.9%€1.1b
B5A0 BAUER
33.7x38.2%€184.2m
KBX Knorr-Bremse
19.4x10.8%€11.6b
OCI1 ACS Actividades de Construcción y Servicios
13.8x9.0%€11.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OCI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (63.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OCI1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OCI1 13.8xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies20PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OCI1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OCI1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OCI1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OCI1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OCI1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.58
€42.64
-2.2%
10.8%€49.25€33.00n/a16
Nov ’25€44.08
€42.42
-3.8%
11.1%€49.25€33.00n/a16
Oct ’25€41.26
€40.89
-0.9%
12.1%€49.25€30.40n/a16
Sep ’25€40.94
€40.89
-0.1%
12.1%€49.25€30.40n/a16
Aug ’25€41.06
€40.54
-1.3%
12.8%€49.25€29.80n/a16
Jul ’25€40.30
€38.28
-5.0%
13.0%€46.00€29.80n/a16
Jun ’25€40.86
€37.08
-9.3%
12.8%€43.00€29.80n/a16
May ’25€37.54
€36.69
-2.3%
13.0%€43.00€29.80n/a15
Apr ’25€39.85
€35.71
-10.4%
13.8%€43.00€29.80n/a14
Mar ’25€35.84
€34.97
-2.4%
17.7%€46.00€26.00n/a15
Feb ’25€36.33
€33.35
-8.2%
16.4%€43.00€26.00n/a13
Jan ’25€40.35
€32.80
-18.7%
15.0%€43.00€26.00n/a13
Dec ’24€36.47
€32.96
-9.6%
14.5%€43.00€26.00€43.5814
Nov ’24€34.00
€32.63
-4.0%
15.7%€43.00€24.00€44.0814
Oct ’24€34.25
€31.85
-7.0%
15.2%€40.10€24.00€41.2614
Sep ’24€32.23
€31.35
-2.7%
13.3%€40.00€24.00€40.9416
Aug ’24€31.64
€31.35
-0.9%
13.3%€40.00€24.00€41.0616
Jul ’24€31.90
€30.89
-3.2%
14.7%€40.00€24.00€40.3016
Jun ’24€31.19
€30.78
-1.3%
14.2%€40.00€24.00€40.8616
May ’24€30.96
€30.14
-2.6%
14.2%€40.00€24.00€37.5416
Apr ’24€29.50
€29.84
+1.1%
15.0%€40.00€24.00€39.8516
Mar ’24€28.52
€30.19
+5.8%
14.3%€40.00€24.00€35.8416
Feb ’24€27.01
€30.09
+11.4%
14.6%€40.00€24.00€36.3316
Jan ’24€26.86
€30.03
+11.8%
14.7%€40.00€24.00€40.3516
Dec ’23€27.17
€30.03
+10.5%
14.7%€40.00€24.00€36.4716

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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