NTN Valuation

Is NTN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NTN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NTN (€1.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NTN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NTN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NTN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.4x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NTN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NTN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.1x
KSB KSB SE KGaA
7.6x8.6%€1.1b
MBH3 Maschinenfabrik Berthold Hermle
12.7xn/a€1.1b
MUB Mühlbauer Holding
69.4xn/a€808.9m
STM Stabilus
14.8x13.8%€1.5b
NTN NTN
8.7x12.6%€163.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NTN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NTN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NTN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NTN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NTN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.7x
Fair PE Ratio15.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NTN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NTN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.80
€2.06
+14.2%
21.4%€2.98€1.70n/a6
Apr ’25€1.89
€2.03
+7.2%
23.6%€3.01€1.60n/a6
Mar ’25€1.95
€1.99
+2.1%
25.2%€3.00€1.53n/a6
Feb ’25€1.64
€1.85
+12.7%
12.9%€2.28€1.58n/a5
Jan ’25€1.62
€1.89
+16.8%
12.2%€2.30€1.60n/a5
Dec ’24€1.65
€1.91
+15.5%
11.9%€2.20€1.53n/a6
Nov ’24€1.73
€1.96
+13.5%
13.1%€2.31€1.56n/a6
Oct ’24€1.77
€2.00
+12.8%
13.1%€2.34€1.58n/a6
Sep ’24€1.81
€2.00
+10.3%
13.1%€2.34€1.58n/a6
Aug ’24€1.99
€2.23
+11.8%
9.2%€2.57€1.99n/a6
Jul ’24€1.89
€2.21
+17.2%
9.9%€2.61€1.95n/a7
Jun ’24€1.82
€2.42
+32.8%
11.7%€2.89€2.01n/a7
May ’24€2.22
€2.94
+32.3%
21.9%€4.17€2.08n/a7
Apr ’24€2.30
€2.94
+27.7%
21.9%€4.17€2.08€1.897
Mar ’24€2.34
€2.60
+11.1%
19.8%€3.50€1.89€1.957
Feb ’24€1.87
€2.49
+33.4%
14.1%€2.90€1.91€1.647
Jan ’24€1.85
€2.47
+33.5%
14.7%€2.85€1.88€1.627
Dec ’23€2.00
€2.25
+12.3%
18.3%€2.79€1.63€1.657
Nov ’23€1.91
€2.25
+17.6%
18.3%€2.79€1.63€1.737
Oct ’23€1.78
€2.38
+33.5%
18.3%€2.95€1.73€1.777
Sep ’23€1.86
€2.26
+21.6%
16.8%€2.87€1.65€1.817
Aug ’23€1.84
€2.24
+21.7%
18.6%€2.87€1.54€1.997
Jul ’23€1.80
€2.24
+24.4%
18.6%€2.87€1.54€1.897
Jun ’23€2.02
€1.75
-13.5%
21.1%€2.30€1.26€1.827
May ’23€1.50
€1.69
+12.7%
21.1%€2.23€1.22€2.227
Apr ’23€1.58
€1.79
+13.5%
19.7%€2.28€1.32€2.307

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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