Bidvest Group Valuation

Is NQL1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NQL1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NQL1 (€12.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NQL1 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NQL1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NQL1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.5x
PEG Ratio1.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NQL1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NQL1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.5x
INH INDUS Holding
8.3x10.2%€691.2m
MBB MBB
48.6x29.9%€589.9m
SIE Siemens
15.6x3.8%€137.3b
KRN Krones
17.5x15.2%€3.9b
NQL1 Bidvest Group
13.8x8.1%€84.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NQL1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (22.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NQL1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NQL1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NQL1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NQL1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NQL1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NQL1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.20
€14.64
+20.0%
5.5%€15.62€13.14n/a7
Apr ’25€11.70
€14.39
+23.0%
5.6%€15.38€12.94n/a7
Mar ’25€11.00
€13.88
+26.2%
6.7%€15.09€12.00n/a6
Feb ’25€11.80
€14.17
+20.1%
7.2%€15.22€12.11n/a6
Jan ’25€12.00
€14.10
+17.5%
7.5%€14.98€11.91n/a6
Dec ’24€11.20
€14.10
+25.9%
7.5%€14.98€11.91n/a6
Nov ’24€13.00
€14.89
+14.6%
4.2%€15.77€13.85n/a6
Oct ’24€13.30
€14.87
+11.8%
4.7%€15.82€13.89n/a6
Sep ’24€13.60
€14.34
+5.5%
4.8%€14.97€13.01n/a5
Aug ’24€13.80
€14.35
+4.0%
4.8%€14.98€13.02n/a5
Jul ’24€12.40
€14.38
+16.0%
4.8%€15.01€13.04n/a5
Jun ’24€11.10
€13.60
+22.5%
5.2%€14.44€12.54n/a5
May ’24€12.10
€14.60
+20.7%
6.9%€15.67€12.85€11.905
Apr ’24€12.70
€14.60
+15.0%
6.9%€15.67€12.85€11.705
Mar ’24€11.90
€14.31
+20.2%
6.1%€15.22€12.82€11.005
Feb ’24€11.70
€14.31
+22.3%
6.1%€15.22€12.82€11.805
Jan ’24€11.80
€14.31
+21.3%
6.1%€15.22€12.82€12.005
Dec ’23€12.70
€14.31
+12.7%
6.1%€15.22€12.82€11.205
Nov ’23€11.60
€14.20
+22.4%
6.9%€15.20€12.81€13.004
Oct ’23€11.00
€14.41
+31.0%
6.2%€15.42€12.99€13.305
Sep ’23€12.20
€15.18
+24.5%
4.0%€15.93€14.37€13.605
Aug ’23€12.30
€15.84
+28.7%
6.1%€17.59€14.65€13.806
Jul ’23€12.00
€15.84
+32.0%
6.1%€17.59€14.65€12.406
Jun ’23€12.60
€15.61
+23.9%
6.6%€17.42€14.52€11.105
May ’23€12.80
€15.61
+21.9%
6.6%€17.42€14.52€12.105

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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