Morgan Advanced Materials plc

DB:MGJ Stock Report

Market Cap: €909.6m

Morgan Advanced Materials Valuation

Is MGJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MGJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€4.98
Fair Value
36.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: MGJ (€3.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MGJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MGJ?

Key metric: As MGJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MGJ. This is calculated by dividing MGJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MGJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11x
EarningsUK£69.20m
Market CapUK£761.17m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MGJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MGJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.5x
KSB KSB SE KGaA
7.8x7.7%€1.1b
STM Stabilus
10.7x13.8%€752.1m
MBH3 Maschinenfabrik Berthold Hermle
10.1xn/a€815.0m
SLT Schaltbau Holding
141.6xn/a€643.9m
MGJ Morgan Advanced Materials
11x11.3%€761.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MGJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the peer average (42.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MGJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
MGJ 11.0xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MGJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MGJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MGJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11x
Fair PE Ratio12.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MGJ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MGJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.16
€3.96
+25.4%
7.1%€4.35€3.56n/a8
Jan ’26€3.20
€3.96
+23.8%
7.1%€4.35€3.56n/a8
Dec ’25€3.12
€3.96
+27.0%
7.1%€4.35€3.56n/a8
Nov ’25€2.82
€4.39
+55.8%
11.0%€5.11€3.55n/a8
Oct ’25€3.24
€4.38
+35.1%
9.3%€5.04€3.79n/a8
Sep ’25€3.60
€4.37
+21.5%
8.4%€4.96€3.80n/a9
Aug ’25€3.96
€4.40
+11.1%
8.5%€5.06€3.87n/a9
Jul ’25€3.56
€4.30
+20.9%
9.0%€4.97€3.68n/a9
Jun ’25€3.68
€4.30
+17.0%
9.0%€4.97€3.68n/a9
May ’25€3.64
€4.30
+18.2%
9.0%€4.97€3.68n/a9
Apr ’25€3.32
€4.27
+28.7%
9.6%€4.95€3.67n/a9
Mar ’25€3.04
€4.31
+41.7%
11.6%€5.27€3.69n/a9
Feb ’25€3.14
€4.31
+37.1%
11.6%€5.27€3.69n/a9
Jan ’25€3.20
€4.05
+26.6%
18.8%€5.14€2.40€3.2010
Dec ’24€2.90
€4.05
+39.7%
18.8%€5.14€2.40€3.1210
Nov ’24€2.52
€4.11
+63.1%
19.8%€5.45€2.41€2.8210
Oct ’24€2.76
€4.30
+55.8%
17.8%€5.51€2.43€3.2410
Sep ’24€3.02
€4.30
+42.4%
17.8%€5.51€2.43€3.6010
Aug ’24€3.12
€4.40
+40.9%
18.4%€5.66€2.54€3.9610
Jul ’24€3.08
€4.41
+43.1%
18.6%€5.63€2.53€3.569
Jun ’24€3.34
€4.41
+31.9%
18.6%€5.63€2.53€3.689
May ’24€3.32
€4.30
+29.6%
15.6%€4.90€2.68€3.649
Apr ’24€3.20
€4.30
+34.3%
16.1%€4.98€2.68€3.329
Mar ’24€3.44
€4.29
+24.7%
15.4%€4.92€2.65€3.049
Feb ’24€3.50
€4.40
+25.6%
16.4%€5.31€2.67€3.149
Jan ’24€3.52
€4.34
+23.4%
17.2%€5.32€2.67€3.209
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
€3.85
Fair Value
18.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/09 22:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/09 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Morgan Advanced Materials plc is covered by 30 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Michael BloggArbuthnot Securities Limited
Jonathan HurnBarclays
Robert ChantryBerenberg