Mitsubishi Valuation

Is MBI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MBI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MBI (€16.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€21.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MBI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MBI?

Key metric: As MBI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MBI. This is calculated by dividing MBI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MBI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.4x
EarningsJP¥1.12t
Market CapJP¥10.53t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MBI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MBI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.2x
BNR Brenntag
15.4x15.9%€8.4b
ENR Siemens Energy
30.5x19.6%€36.1b
SIE Siemens
18.4x5.4%€146.6b
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.6x11.6%€28.9b
MBI Mitsubishi
9.4x-5.8%€10.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MBI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the peer average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MBI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MBI 9.4xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MBI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MBI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MBI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MBI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MBI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.11
€21.19
+31.5%
9.6%€25.82€17.89n/a11
Nov ’25€16.22
€21.19
+30.6%
9.6%€25.82€17.89n/a11
Oct ’25€18.68
€21.61
+15.7%
9.3%€26.43€18.31n/a12
Sep ’25€18.34
€22.15
+20.7%
10.0%€27.88€18.03n/a12
Aug ’25€18.41
€22.51
+22.3%
9.9%€27.84€19.68n/a11
Jul ’25€18.55
€20.33
+9.6%
14.3%€26.25€16.34n/a11
Jun ’25€19.15
€21.14
+10.4%
14.7%€26.42€16.44n/a11
May ’25€21.76
€21.34
-1.9%
13.2%€25.15€17.17n/a10
Apr ’25€21.05
€20.63
-2.0%
14.6%€25.06€16.81n/a10
Mar ’25€19.70
€18.44
-6.4%
15.7%€24.58€15.67n/a10
Feb ’25€16.08
€17.06
+6.1%
6.0%€18.41€15.03n/a11
Jan ’25€14.66
€17.38
+18.6%
7.1%€18.79€15.34n/a10
Dec ’24€14.15
€16.73
+18.2%
7.0%€18.16€14.82n/a11
Nov ’24€14.76
€17.02
+15.3%
7.2%€18.37€15.20€16.2211
Oct ’24€14.89
€16.95
+13.8%
7.8%€18.40€14.59€18.6811
Sep ’24€15.33
€16.38
+6.8%
7.9%€18.33€14.52€18.3411
Aug ’24€15.32
€15.98
+4.3%
6.0%€18.31€14.64€18.4111
Jul ’24€14.81
€14.73
-0.6%
14.1%€17.81€10.63€18.5511
Jun ’24€13.09
€12.89
-1.6%
13.0%€16.49€11.05€19.1510
May ’24€11.20
€12.69
+13.3%
10.4%€14.81€11.05€21.7610
Apr ’24€11.00
€13.18
+19.9%
12.5%€15.59€10.66€21.059
Mar ’24€10.87
€12.82
+18.0%
13.5%€15.23€10.41€19.709
Feb ’24€10.15
€12.58
+24.0%
12.6%€15.31€10.60€16.0811
Jan ’24€10.01
€12.26
+22.5%
12.7%€14.93€10.22€14.6611
Dec ’23€10.52
€12.33
+17.2%
13.0%€14.96€10.24€14.1511
Nov ’23€9.46
€12.49
+32.0%
12.3%€15.21€10.41€14.7611

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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