Mota-Engil SGPS Valuation
Is M09 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
6/6Valuation Score 6/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of M09 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: M09 (€2.53) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.64)
Significantly Below Fair Value: M09 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M09?
Key metric: As M09 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is M09's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 5.8x |
| Earnings | €132.65m |
| Market Cap | €773.96m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 5.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does M09's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 21.3x | ||
B5A BAUER | 30.5x | 38.2% | €166.1m |
HOT HOCHTIEF | 11.9x | 2.9% | €8.6b |
3SQ1 AHT Syngas Technology | 34.7x | n/a | €31.8m |
EKT Energiekontor | 8.2x | 10.7% | €606.0m |
M09 Mota-Engil SGPS | 5.8x | 3.3% | €774.0m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: M09 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does M09's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: M09 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is M09's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 5.8x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 11.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: M09 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €2.53 | €5.56 +119.5% | 13.6% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | €2.52 | €5.56 +120.4% | 13.6% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | €2.53 | €5.56 +119.9% | 13.6% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | €3.03 | €5.56 +83.6% | 13.6% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | €3.57 | €5.72 +60.1% | 12.4% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Jul ’25 | €3.52 | €5.51 +56.6% | 13.1% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’25 | €3.94 | €5.51 +40.0% | 13.1% | €6.20 | €4.50 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | €4.19 | €5.85 +39.8% | 8.4% | €6.20 | €5.16 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | €4.88 | €5.85 +19.9% | 8.4% | €6.20 | €5.16 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | €5.60 | €5.85 +4.5% | 8.4% | €6.20 | €5.16 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | €5.26 | €4.06 -22.7% | 19.7% | €5.16 | €3.20 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | €3.95 | €4.02 +2.0% | 18.6% | €4.99 | €3.20 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | €3.65 | €4.02 +10.4% | 18.6% | €4.99 | €3.20 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | €3.09 | €3.97 +28.5% | 17.2% | €4.78 | €3.20 | €2.52 | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | €3.34 | €3.97 +19.0% | 17.2% | €4.78 | €3.20 | €2.53 | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | €2.83 | €3.97 +40.3% | 17.2% | €4.78 | €3.20 | €3.03 | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | €2.47 | €3.87 +57.0% | 20.1% | €4.78 | €3.00 | €3.57 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | €2.22 | €3.72 +67.9% | 26.0% | €4.78 | €2.40 | €3.52 | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | €1.82 | €3.15 +73.4% | 34.7% | €4.50 | €1.80 | €3.94 | 4 |
| May ’24 | €1.91 | €3.15 +64.9% | 34.7% | €4.50 | €1.80 | €4.19 | 4 |
| Apr ’24 | €1.57 | €3.15 +101.1% | 34.7% | €4.50 | €1.80 | €4.88 | 4 |
| Mar ’24 | €1.90 | €3.10 +63.4% | 36.4% | €4.50 | €1.80 | €5.60 | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | €1.68 | €2.83 +68.6% | 39.8% | €4.50 | €1.80 | €5.26 | 4 |
| Jan ’24 | €1.16 | €2.30 +97.9% | 30.7% | €3.30 | €1.80 | €3.95 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | €1.22 | €2.30 +87.9% | 30.7% | €3.30 | €1.80 | €3.65 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | €1.21 | €2.37 +96.2% | 28.1% | €3.30 | €1.80 | €3.09 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Andritz
€5.2b
Provides plants, equipment, and services for pulp and paper industry, metalworking and steel industries, hydropower stations, and solid/liquid separation in the municipal and industrial sectors in Europe, North America, South America, China, Asia, and internationally.
AZ2
€51.50
7D
-3.8%
1Y
5.5%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong)
HK$55.1b
An investment holding company, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of heavy-duty trucks (HDT), medium-heavy duty trucks, light duty trucks (LDT), buses, and related parts and components in Mainland China and internationally.
4SK
HK$2.40
7D
-4.8%
1Y
22.4%
Senior
UK£607.6m
Designs, manufactures, and sells high-technology components and systems for the principal original equipment manufacturers in the aerospace, defense, land vehicle, and power and energy markets in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
1JD
UK£1.75
7D
4.8%
1Y
-6.4%