Travis Perkins plc

DB:LFPB Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.8b

Travis Perkins Valuation

Is LFPB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LFPB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LFPB (€8.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LFPB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LFPB?

Key metric: As LFPB is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LFPB. This is calculated by dividing LFPB's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LFPB's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUK£4.75b
Market CapUK£1.50b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LFPB's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LFPB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
BNR Brenntag
0.5x2.7%€8.5b
KCO Klöckner & Co
0.07x4.4%€456.4m
BYW BayWa
0.04x9.5%€470.7m
WOLF Meta Wolf
3.1xn/a€91.7m
LFPB Travis Perkins
0.3x2.4%€1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LFPB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LFPB's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

17 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LFPB 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies18PS00.61.21.82.43+
17 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LFPB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LFPB's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LFPB PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LFPB is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LFPB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.50
€11.11
+30.7%
7.8%€13.03€9.45n/a16
Dec ’25€9.00
€11.21
+24.6%
9.0%€13.77€9.34n/a16
Nov ’25€9.60
€11.40
+18.7%
9.2%€13.79€9.36n/a16
Oct ’25€10.90
€11.48
+5.3%
10.3%€13.65€9.26n/a16
Sep ’25€10.70
€11.07
+3.5%
10.4%€12.89€9.08n/a16
Aug ’25€11.00
€10.81
-1.7%
13.3%€12.99€8.97n/a16
Jul ’25€8.95
€10.27
+14.8%
14.3%€13.01€7.22n/a17
Jun ’25€9.95
€10.03
+0.8%
14.3%€12.92€7.16n/a17
May ’25€8.70
€9.42
+8.2%
11.6%€11.81€7.13n/a17
Apr ’25€8.35
€9.33
+11.7%
10.0%€11.09€7.12n/a17
Mar ’25€8.66
€9.85
+13.8%
10.4%€12.00€7.49n/a17
Feb ’25€8.95
€9.70
+8.4%
11.8%€12.00€7.49n/a18
Jan ’25€9.47
€9.49
+0.2%
11.6%€11.83€7.45€8.3518
Dec ’24€8.92
€9.41
+5.5%
11.6%€11.78€7.41€9.0018
Nov ’24€8.48
€9.61
+13.4%
11.2%€11.81€7.49€9.6017
Oct ’24€9.64
€10.68
+10.8%
12.0%€13.94€9.06€10.9018
Sep ’24€9.81
€10.68
+8.9%
12.0%€13.94€9.06€10.7018
Aug ’24€10.24
€10.65
+4.0%
12.2%€13.96€9.07€11.0018
Jul ’24€9.38
€10.74
+14.5%
11.7%€13.90€9.03€8.9518
Jun ’24€10.16
€11.68
+15.0%
12.9%€14.98€9.33€9.9518
May ’24€10.80
€11.46
+6.1%
12.6%€14.70€9.16€8.7019
Apr ’24€10.80
€11.53
+6.7%
12.6%€14.90€9.33€8.3519
Mar ’24€11.30
€11.23
-0.6%
13.8%€14.77€9.24€8.6618
Feb ’24€11.50
€11.05
-3.9%
13.6%€15.16€9.35€8.9519
Jan ’24€10.10
€11.25
+11.4%
14.9%€15.46€9.30€9.4719

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 10:42
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Travis Perkins plc is covered by 46 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Emily BiddulphBarclays
Paul Daniel CheckettsBarclays