KION GROUP Valuation

Is KGX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KGX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KGX (€43.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€85.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KGX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KGX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KGX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KGX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KGX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.8x
JUN3 Jungheinrich
11.9x6.5%€3.6b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
20.3x9.9%€11.2b
R3NK RENK Group
84.6x30.5%€2.7b
8TRA Traton
6.3x2.4%€16.7b
KGX KION GROUP
16.6x20.6%€5.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KGX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (30.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KGX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KGX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KGX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KGX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio25.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KGX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KGX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.09
€53.16
+23.4%
22.4%€75.00€26.00n/a19
Apr ’25€48.74
€52.40
+7.5%
22.5%€75.00€26.00n/a19
Mar ’25€47.31
€47.68
+0.8%
26.2%€71.00€23.00n/a20
Feb ’25€41.88
€45.93
+9.7%
25.2%€68.00€23.00n/a21
Jan ’25€38.83
€43.40
+11.8%
24.0%€64.00€23.00n/a21
Dec ’24€34.23
€43.57
+27.3%
23.6%€64.00€23.00n/a21
Nov ’24€29.01
€43.71
+50.7%
22.6%€64.00€23.00n/a21
Oct ’24€36.30
€45.80
+26.2%
20.8%€65.00€23.00n/a20
Sep ’24€37.78
€45.83
+21.3%
21.1%€65.00€24.00n/a18
Aug ’24€37.61
€45.83
+21.9%
21.1%€65.00€24.00n/a18
Jul ’24€37.06
€44.28
+19.5%
20.6%€64.00€24.00n/a18
Jun ’24€32.88
€43.83
+33.3%
21.8%€63.00€20.00n/a18
May ’24€37.21
€43.78
+17.7%
21.9%€63.00€20.00€43.0918
Apr ’24€35.51
€41.78
+17.7%
21.0%€55.00€20.00€48.7418
Mar ’24€37.78
€40.78
+7.9%
21.2%€55.00€20.00€47.3118
Feb ’24€38.80
€40.44
+4.2%
21.2%€55.00€20.00€41.8818
Jan ’24€26.82
€36.37
+35.6%
25.6%€55.00€17.00€38.8318
Dec ’23€28.10
€36.37
+29.4%
25.6%€55.00€17.00€34.2318
Nov ’23€24.01
€43.26
+80.2%
48.2%€120.00€26.00€29.0118
Oct ’23€19.90
€48.11
+141.8%
43.6%€120.00€26.00€36.3018
Sep ’23€38.97
€64.50
+65.5%
29.7%€120.00€29.00€37.7819
Aug ’23€44.56
€66.61
+49.5%
29.4%€120.00€29.00€37.6119
Jul ’23€41.02
€74.21
+80.9%
22.0%€120.00€52.00€37.0619
Jun ’23€45.87
€84.79
+84.8%
24.7%€130.00€52.00€32.8819
May ’23€53.62
€87.87
+63.9%
23.4%€138.00€54.00€37.2119

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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